Niche

Colorful + Sandbox

Games tagged both Colorful and Sandbox: 103 indie paid launches, 10 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Colorful + Sandbox priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Colorful and trails Sandbox; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Colorful and is too small to compare with Sandbox.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Colorful + Sandbox is too small to compare with Colorful and is too small to compare with Sandbox: 5 of its 19 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.1 in 100 for Colorful and 29.7 in 100 for Sandbox.

Small sample: 19 launches, 5 hits.

TIETied

Tag onemood tagColorful

14.1in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds14.1 in 100

Typical earnings$5,171

Launches376 / 53 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairColorful + Sandbox

5 of 19launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds5 of 19 launches

Typical earnings$11,200

Launches19 / 5 hits

Expected17.6 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoSandbox

29.7in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds29.7 in 100

Typical earnings$22,688

Launches360 / 107 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Colorful is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices103 in pair Under $551 in pair $5 to $1031 in pair $10 to $2019 in pair$20 to $402: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 19 games tagged both Colorful and Sandbox priced $10 to $20. 5 of 19 of them earned $100k+, against 13.4 in 100 for Colorful-only games and 29.9 in 100 for Sandbox-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Colorful alone and is too small to compare with Sandbox alone.

Both: 19 games priced $10 to $20; 5 of 19 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $11,200.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 19 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Guilty as Sock!leads this pair15.9%

PairGuilty as Sock!15.9%

ColorfulHello Kitty Island Adventure10.0%

SandboxManor Lords22.8%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Colorful + Sandbox

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Guilty as Sock! earned 15.9% of the estimated first-year money of the 103 Colorful + Sandbox launches.
Colorful is led by Hello Kitty Island Adventure, with 10.0% of its money.
Sandbox is led by Manor Lords, with 22.8% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Colorful + Sandbox holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Colorful + Sandbox through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view103 of 103 launches	Without the breakout102 of 103 launches	Last 18 months41 of 103 launches
Launches counted	10310 hits	10310 hits	1029 hits	414 hits
Earned $100k+	9.7 in 1001 in 10	9.7 in 1001 in 10	8.8 in 1001 in 11	4 of 41too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$956top tenth $79,115+	$956	$956	$956
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change	-9.1%0.9 fewer in 100	+0.5%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	0.0%no change; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Colorful and Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 103 launches.

Launches counted: 10310 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.7 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $956top tenth $79,115+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 103 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 10310 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.7 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $956
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Guilty as Sock! (15.9% of the money): 102 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1029 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $956
Chance against standard: -9.1%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 41 of 103.

Launches counted: 414 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 41too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $956
Chance against standard: +0.5%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Colorful and Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 103 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 103 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Guilty as Sock! (15.9% of the money): 102 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 41 of 103.

Colorful is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Colorful through every lens, all prices
Colorful	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view2,806 of 2,852 launches	Without the breakout2,851 of 2,852 launches	Last 18 months838 of 2,852 launches
Launches counted	2,852121 hits	2,806116 hits	2,851120 hits	83837 hits
Earned $100k+	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.1 in 1001 in 24	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings	$312top tenth $14,497+	$313	$312	$285
Chance against standard	the base	-2.6%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.8%no change	+4.1%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+0.3%$1 more	0.0%no change	-8.7%$27 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Colorful, 12 to 36 months old: 2,852 launches.

Launches counted: 2,852121 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $312top tenth $14,497+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 46 of 2,852 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 2,806116 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.1 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $313
Chance against standard: -2.6%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +0.3%$1 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (10.0% of the money): 2,851 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 2,851120 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $312
Chance against standard: -0.8%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 838 of 2,852.

Launches counted: 83837 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings: $285
Chance against standard: +4.1%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: -8.7%$27 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Colorful, 12 to 36 months old: 2,852 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 46 of 2,852 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (10.0% of the money): 2,851 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 838 of 2,852.

Sandbox is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Sandbox through every lens, all prices
Sandbox	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,172 of 1,219 launches	Without the breakout1,218 of 1,219 launches	Last 18 months387 of 1,219 launches
Launches counted	1,219193 hits	1,172181 hits	1,218192 hits	38762 hits
Earned $100k+	15.8 in 100	15.4 in 100	15.8 in 100	16.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$1,882top tenth $223,977+	$1,914	$1,882	$2,011
Chance against standard	the base	-2.5%0.4 fewer in 100	-0.4%0.1 fewer in 100	+1.2%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+1.7%$32 more	0.0%no change	+6.9%$129 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 1,219 launches.

Launches counted: 1,219193 hits
Earned $100k+: 15.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,882top tenth $223,977+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 47 of 1,219 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,172181 hits
Earned $100k+: 15.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,914
Chance against standard: -2.5%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +1.7%$32 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (22.8% of the money): 1,218 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,218192 hits
Earned $100k+: 15.8 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,882
Chance against standard: -0.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 387 of 1,219.

Launches counted: 38762 hits
Earned $100k+: 16.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,011
Chance against standard: +1.2%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: +6.9%$129 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 1,219 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 47 of 1,219 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (22.8% of the money): 1,218 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 387 of 1,219.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Colorful + Sandbox moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.