Niche

Colorful + Sports

Games tagged both Colorful and Sports: 122 indie paid launches, 4 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Colorful + Sports priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Colorful + Sports is too small to compare with Colorful and is too small to compare with Sports: 2 of its 16 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.1 in 100 for Colorful and 9.2 in 100 for Sports.

Small sample: 16 launches, 2 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagColorful

14.1in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds14.1 in 100

Typical earnings$5,171

Launches376 / 53 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairColorful + Sports

2 of 16launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds2 of 16 launches

Typical earnings$3,983

Launches16 / 2 hits

Expected17.6 in 100

TIETied

Tag twoSports

9.2in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 11

Typical earnings$4,390

Launches152 / 14 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Colorful is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices122 in pair Under $556 in pair $5 to $1042 in pair $10 to $2016 in pair$20 to $408: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 16 games tagged both Colorful and Sports priced $10 to $20. 2 of 16 of them earned $100k+, against 14.2 in 100 for Colorful-only games and 8.8 in 100 for Sports-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Colorful alone and is too small to compare with Sports alone.

Both: 16 games priced $10 to $20; 2 of 16 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $3,983.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 16 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Backyard Baseball '97leads this pair24.1%

PairBackyard Baseball '9724.1%

ColorfulHello Kitty Island Adventure10.0%

SportsREMATCH34.2%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Colorful + Sports

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Backyard Baseball '97 earned 24.1% of the estimated first-year money of the 122 Colorful + Sports launches.
Colorful is led by Hello Kitty Island Adventure, with 10.0% of its money.
Sports is led by REMATCH, with 34.2% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Colorful + Sports holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Colorful + Sports through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view122 of 122 launches	Without the breakout121 of 122 launches	Last 18 months40 of 122 launches
Launches counted	1224 hits	1224 hits	1213 hits	402 hits
Earned $100k+	4 of 122too few for a rate	4 of 122too few for a rate	3 of 121too few for a rate	2 of 40too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$765top tenth $24,401+	$765	$735	$765
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	-24.4%0.8 fewer in 100	+52.5%1.7 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	-3.9%$30 less	0.0%no change; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Colorful and Sports, 12 to 36 months old: 122 launches.

Launches counted: 1224 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 122too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $765top tenth $24,401+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 122 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1224 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 122too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $765
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Backyard Baseball '97 (24.1% of the money): 121 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1213 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 121too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $735
Chance against standard: -24.4%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -3.9%$30 less

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 40 of 122.

Launches counted: 402 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 40too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $765
Chance against standard: +52.5%1.7 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Colorful and Sports, 12 to 36 months old: 122 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 122 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Backyard Baseball '97 (24.1% of the money): 121 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 40 of 122.

Colorful is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Colorful through every lens, all prices
Colorful	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view2,806 of 2,852 launches	Without the breakout2,851 of 2,852 launches	Last 18 months838 of 2,852 launches
Launches counted	2,852121 hits	2,806116 hits	2,851120 hits	83837 hits
Earned $100k+	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.1 in 1001 in 24	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings	$312top tenth $14,497+	$313	$312	$285
Chance against standard	the base	-2.6%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.8%no change	+4.1%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+0.3%$1 more	0.0%no change	-8.7%$27 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Colorful, 12 to 36 months old: 2,852 launches.

Launches counted: 2,852121 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $312top tenth $14,497+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 46 of 2,852 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 2,806116 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.1 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $313
Chance against standard: -2.6%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +0.3%$1 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (10.0% of the money): 2,851 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 2,851120 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $312
Chance against standard: -0.8%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 838 of 2,852.

Launches counted: 83837 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings: $285
Chance against standard: +4.1%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: -8.7%$27 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Colorful, 12 to 36 months old: 2,852 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 46 of 2,852 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (10.0% of the money): 2,851 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 838 of 2,852.

Sports holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Sports through every lens, all prices
Sports	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view841 of 854 launches	Without the breakout853 of 854 launches	Last 18 months284 of 854 launches
Launches counted	85440 hits	84140 hits	85339 hits	28418 hits
Earned $100k+	4.7 in 1001 in 21	4.8 in 1001 in 21	4.6 in 1001 in 22	6.3 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings	$766top tenth $28,832+	$780	$765	$861
Chance against standard	the base	+1.5%0.1 more in 100	-2.4%0.1 fewer in 100	+35.3%1.7 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+1.8%$14 more	-0.1%$1 less	+12.4%$95 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Sports, 12 to 36 months old: 854 launches.

Launches counted: 85440 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.7 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings: $766top tenth $28,832+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 854 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 84140 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.8 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings: $780
Chance against standard: +1.5%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +1.8%$14 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (34.2% of the money): 853 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 85339 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.6 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings: $765
Chance against standard: -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.1%$1 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 284 of 854.

Launches counted: 28418 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.3 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $861
Chance against standard: +35.3%1.7 more in 100
Typical against standard: +12.4%$95 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Sports, 12 to 36 months old: 854 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 854 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (34.2% of the money): 853 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 284 of 854.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Colorful + Sports moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.