Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Cozy + Sandbox
Games tagged both Cozy and Sandbox: 58 indie paid launches, 15 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cozy + Sandbox priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Cozy and is too small to compare with Sandbox.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Cozy + Sandbox is too small to compare with Cozy and is too small to compare with Sandbox: 8 of its 15 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 44.2 in 100 for Cozy and 29.7 in 100 for Sandbox.
Small sample: 15 launches, 8 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 15 games tagged both Cozy and Sandbox priced $10 to $20. 8 of 15 of them earned $100k+, against 42.9 in 100 for Cozy-only games and 28.7 in 100 for Sandbox-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Cozy alone and is too small to compare with Sandbox alone.
Both: 15 games priced $10 to $20; 8 of 15 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $118,699.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 15 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cozy + Sandbox is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view57 of 58 launches | Without the breakout57 of 58 launches | Last 18 months26 of 58 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5815 hits | 5714 hits | 5714 hits | 268 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 25.9 in 100 | 24.6 in 100 | 24.6 in 100 | 8 of 26too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $8,998top tenth $830,431+ | $8,901 | $8,901 | $8,998 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -5.0%1.3 fewer in 100 | -5.0%1.3 fewer in 100 | +19.0%4.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -1.1%$97 less; too few to tell | -1.1%$97 less | 0.0%no change; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cozy and Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 58 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 58 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Tiny Glade (30.8% of the money): 57 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 26 of 58.
Cozy is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.
| Cozy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view485 of 492 launches | Without the breakout491 of 492 launches | Last 18 months196 of 492 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 49275 hits | 48571 hits | 49174 hits | 19638 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 15.2 in 100 | 14.6 in 100 | 15.1 in 100 | 19.4 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,412top tenth $227,459+ | $2,301 | $2,411 | $2,870 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -4.0%0.6 fewer in 100 | -1.1%0.2 fewer in 100 | +27.2%4.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -4.6%$111 less | 0.0%$1 less | +19.0%$458 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cozy, 12 to 36 months old: 492 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 492 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (9.7% of the money): 491 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 196 of 492.
Sandbox is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Sandbox | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,172 of 1,219 launches | Without the breakout1,218 of 1,219 launches | Last 18 months387 of 1,219 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,219193 hits | 1,172181 hits | 1,218192 hits | 38762 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 15.8 in 100 | 15.4 in 100 | 15.8 in 100 | 16.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,882top tenth $223,977+ | $1,914 | $1,882 | $2,011 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.5%0.4 fewer in 100 | -0.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +1.2%0.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.7%$32 more | 0.0%no change | +6.9%$129 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 1,219 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 47 of 1,219 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (22.8% of the money): 1,218 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 387 of 1,219.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cozy + Sandbox moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.