Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Cozy + Wholesome: a typical launch earns $1,797 in its first year
That is the median of 128 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 26 of 246 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 8.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 49% on the year before: 213 against 143.
- Price
- $1,797 median of 128 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −25.8% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 213 143 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 315 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 833 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.42%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.24% to 0.56% | 53 ranked of 316 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #556 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 2.45xhits against expected | 1.87x to 3.21x | 246 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #44 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −12%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −26% to +11% | 95 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,799 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −4%review growth against same-age games | −11% to +5% | 95 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,012 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 246
- Hit rate
- 10.6%6.1% to 14.0%
- Expected rate
- 3.6%
- Against expected
- 2.45x1.87x to 3.21x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
246 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $382
- Median
- $1,572
- Top tenth
- $103,220
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +49%
- Against Steam
- +9%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Little Kitty, Big City (opens the Steam store)2024 · 10,445 reviews, 96% positiveest. $5M
- Is This Seat Taken? (opens the Steam store)2025 · 9,190 reviews, 97% positiveest. $1.8M
- Trash Goblin (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,578 reviews, 87% positiveest. $639k
- Spilled! (opens the Steam store)2025 · 4,924 reviews, 93% positiveest. $597k
- Fruitbus (opens the Steam store)2024 · 968 reviews, 86% positiveest. $490k
- Station to Station (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,240 reviews, 89% positiveest. $452k
- Ship, Inc. (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,185 reviews, 83% positiveest. $417k
- Undusted: Letters from the Past (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,814 reviews, 96% positiveest. $367k
More with Cozy
pairs with Cozy- Life Sim + Cozy$34,02737 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Cozy$32,10838 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Cozy$24,01549 launches priced, 99 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Cozy$15,70676 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
- Building + Cozy$14,48232 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Management + Cozy$9,50833 launches priced, 77 releases in 12 months
More with Wholesome
pairs with Wholesome- Point & Click + Wholesome$1,77343 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Relaxing + Wholesome$1,572131 launches priced, 208 releases in 12 months
- Cute + Wholesome$1,454129 launches priced, 189 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Wholesome$1,117132 launches priced, 229 releases in 12 months
- Cats + Wholesome$88478 launches priced, 95 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Wholesome$865107 launches priced, 151 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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