Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Crafting + Cute: a typical launch earns $1,516 in its first year
That is the median of 30 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 8 of 63 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 82% on the year before: 62 against 34.
- Price
- $1,516 median of 30 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −51.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 62 34 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 203 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 408 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.19%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.11% to 0.27% | 29 ranked of 203 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,084 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.25xhits against expected | 0.86x to 1.85x | 63 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,540 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| −18%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −45% to +20% | 21 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,939 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| +4%review growth against same-age games | −11% to +26% | 21 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,760 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 63
- Hit rate
- 12.7%4.8% to 20.3%
- Expected rate
- 9.2%
- Against expected
- 1.25x0.86x to 1.85x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
63 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $20
- Median
- $2,751
- Top tenth
- $109,441
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +82%
- Against Steam
- +27%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Winter Burrow (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,870 reviews, 89% positiveest. $1.2M
- Romestead (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,722 reviews, 76% positiveest. $1.1M
- Amber Isle (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,782 reviews, 82% positiveest. $902k
- Feed the Cups (opens the Steam store)2024 · 4,718 reviews, 72% positiveest. $893k
- Bandle Tale: A League of Legends Story (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,244 reviews, 77% positiveest. $630k
- Farlands (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,633 reviews, 89% positiveest. $595k
- Little Rocket Lab (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,290 reviews, 90% positiveest. $522k
- Cozy Caravan (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,260 reviews, 93% positiveest. $510k
More with Crafting
pairs with Crafting- Crafting + Open World Survival Craft$26,87533 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- Crafting + Resource Management$9,79344 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Crafting + Base Building$8,90179 launches priced, 125 releases in 12 months
- Crafting + Life Sim$8,45137 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
- Open World + Crafting$7,48760 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
- Crafting + First-Person$6,99934 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
More with Cute
pairs with Cute- Open World + Cute$5,88634 launches priced, 33 releases in 12 months
- Cute + Romance$5,22277 launches priced, 90 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Cute$3,396163 launches priced, 188 releases in 12 months
- Cute + LGBTQ+$2,97434 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Cute$2,84651 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Cute$2,798212 launches priced, 288 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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