Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Crafting + Fantasy
Games tagged both Crafting and Fantasy: 51 indie paid launches, 9 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Crafting + Fantasy priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Crafting and beats Fantasy; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Crafting and is too small to compare with Fantasy.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Crafting + Fantasy is too small to compare with Crafting and is too small to compare with Fantasy: 4 of its 20 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 28.2 in 100 for Crafting and 13.2 in 100 for Fantasy.
Small sample: 20 launches, 4 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 20 games tagged both Crafting and Fantasy priced $10 to $20. 4 of 20 of them earned $100k+, against 29.1 in 100 for Crafting-only games and 12.8 in 100 for Fantasy-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Crafting alone and is too small to compare with Fantasy alone.
Both: 20 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 20 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 17 of 20 launches · $10k+ 11 of 20 launches · $100k+ 4 of 20 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 20 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 2 of 2. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: not run yet.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Crafting + Fantasy holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view51 of 51 launches | Without the breakout50 of 51 launches | Last 18 monthstoo few |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 519 hits | 519 hits | 508 hits | too few |
| Earned $100k+ | 17.6 in 100 | 17.6 in 100 | 16.0 in 100 | too few |
| Chance of $10k+ | 39 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 67 in 100 | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | too few |
| Chance against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | -9.3%1.6 fewer in 100 | too few |
| Typical against standard | the base | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | too few |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Not run yet |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Crafting and Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 51 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 51 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Teddy's Haven (23.7% of the money): 50 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Too few launches to run this lens.
Crafting holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Crafting | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view624 of 645 launches | Without the breakout644 of 645 launches | Last 18 months201 of 645 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 645116 hits | 624114 hits | 644115 hits | 20134 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 18.0 in 100 | 18.3 in 100 | 17.9 in 100 | 16.9 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,393top tenth $310,467+ | $2,621 | $2,393 | $2,682 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.6%0.3 more in 100 | -0.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | -5.9%1.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +9.5%$228 more | 0.0%no change | +12.1%$289 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Crafting, 12 to 36 months old: 645 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 645 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (36.7% of the money): 644 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 201 of 645.
Fantasy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Fantasy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,691 of 1,771 launches | Without the breakout1,770 of 1,771 launches | Last 18 months517 of 1,771 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,771108 hits | 1,691104 hits | 1,770107 hits | 51737 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.1 in 1001 in 16 | 6.2 in 1001 in 16 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $567top tenth $31,415+ | $595 | $567 | $625 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.9%0.1 more in 100 | -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | +17.4%1.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.9%$28 more | 0.0%no change | +10.2%$58 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 1,771 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 80 of 1,771 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (23.5% of the money): 1,770 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 517 of 1,771.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Crafting + Fantasy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.