Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 2 of 2. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: not run yet.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Crafting + Multiplayer
Crafting + Multiplayer
Games tagged both Crafting and Multiplayer: 49 indie paid launches, 22 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Crafting + Multiplayer priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Crafting and is too small to compare with Multiplayer.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Crafting + Multiplayer is too small to compare with Crafting and is too small to compare with Multiplayer: 8 of its 20 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 28.4 in 100 for Crafting and 31.1 in 100 for Multiplayer.
Small sample: 20 launches, 8 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 20 games tagged both Crafting and Multiplayer priced $10 to $20. 8 of 20 of them earned $100k+, against 27.2 in 100 for Crafting-only games and 30.4 in 100 for Multiplayer-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Crafting alone and is too small to compare with Multiplayer alone.
Both: 20 games priced $10 to $20; 8 of 20 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 20 of 20 launches · $10k+ 17 of 20 launches · $100k+ 8 of 20 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 20 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 2 of 2. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: not run yet.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Crafting + Multiplayer holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view48 of 49 launches | Without the breakout48 of 49 launches | Last 18 monthstoo few |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4922 hits | 4821 hits | 4821 hits | too few |
| Earned $100k+ | 44.9 in 100 | 43.8 in 100 | 43.8 in 100 | too few |
| Chance of $10k+ | 67 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 82 in 100 | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | too few |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.6%1.1 fewer in 100 | -2.6%1.1 fewer in 100 | too few |
| Typical against standard | the base | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | too few |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Not run yet |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Crafting and Multiplayer, 12 to 36 months old: 49 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 49 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (43.1% of the money): 48 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Too few launches to run this lens.
Crafting is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Crafting | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view626 of 648 launches | Without the breakout647 of 648 launches | Last 18 months194 of 648 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 648115 hits | 626113 hits | 647114 hits | 19427 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 17.7 in 100 | 18.1 in 100 | 17.6 in 100 | 13.9 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,684top tenth $314,719+ | $2,780 | $2,607 | $2,184 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.7%0.3 more in 100 | -0.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | -21.6%3.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.6%$96 more | -2.9%$77 less | -18.6%$500 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Crafting, 12 to 36 months old: 648 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 22 of 648 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (36.1% of the money): 647 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 194 of 648.
Multiplayer holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Multiplayer | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,285 of 1,326 launches | Without the breakout1,325 of 1,326 launches | Last 18 months382 of 1,326 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,326204 hits | 1,285195 hits | 1,325203 hits | 38264 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 15.4 in 100 | 15.2 in 100 | 15.3 in 100 | 16.8 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,243top tenth $335,136+ | $1,264 | $1,237 | $1,414 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.4%0.2 fewer in 100 | -0.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +8.9%1.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.7%$21 more | -0.5%$6 less | +13.8%$171 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Multiplayer, 12 to 36 months old: 1,326 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 41 of 1,326 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (21.5% of the money): 1,325 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 382 of 1,326.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Crafting + Multiplayer moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.