Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Cute + Surreal
Games tagged both Cute and Surreal: 55 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cute + Surreal priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced under $5 it is too small to compare with Cute and is too small to compare with Surreal.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Cute + Surreal is too small to compare with Cute and is too small to compare with Surreal: 1 of its 31 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.5 in 100 for Cute and 1.5 in 100 for Surreal.
Small sample: 31 launches, 1 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 31 games tagged both Cute and Surreal priced under $5. 1 of 31 of them earned $100k+, against 0.5 in 100 for Cute-only games and 4 of 299 for Surreal-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Cute alone and is too small to compare with Surreal alone.
Both: 31 games priced under $5; 1 of 31 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 35 in 100 · $10k+ 2 of 31 launches · $100k+ 1 of 31 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 31 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cute + Surreal holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view52 of 55 launches | Without the breakout54 of 55 launches | Last 18 months11 of 55 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 556 hits | 525 hits | 545 hits | 110 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 10.9 in 100 | 9.6 in 1001 in 10 | 9.3 in 1001 in 11 | 0 of 11too few for a rate |
| Chance of $10k+ | 20 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 56 in 100 | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -11.9%1.3 fewer in 100 | -15.1%1.6 fewer in 100 | -100.0%10.9 fewer in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cute and Surreal, 12 to 36 months old: 55 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 55 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, GINKA (30.3% of the money): 54 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 11 of 55.
Cute is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.
| Cute | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,654 of 3,829 launches | Without the breakout3,828 of 3,829 launches | Last 18 months1,116 of 3,829 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,829221 hits | 3,654202 hits | 3,828220 hits | 1,11677 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 | 5.7 in 1001 in 17 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $641top tenth $32,649+ | $661 | $641 | $632 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -4.2%0.2 fewer in 100 | -0.4%no change | +19.5%1.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.1%$20 more | 0.0%no change | -1.4%$9 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cute, 12 to 36 months old: 3,829 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 175 of 3,829 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (5.1% of the money): 3,828 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,116 of 3,829.
Surreal holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Surreal | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view553 of 579 launches | Without the breakout578 of 579 launches | Last 18 months157 of 579 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 57935 hits | 55333 hits | 57834 hits | 1577 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 4.5 in 1001 in 22 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,034top tenth $46,867+ | $1,020 | $1,034 | $1,161 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -2.7%0.2 fewer in 100 | -26.2%1.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -1.4%$14 less | 0.0%no change | +12.3%$127 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Surreal, 12 to 36 months old: 579 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 579 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, INDIKA (14.1% of the money): 578 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 157 of 579.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cute + Surreal moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.