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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 30 Sep 2026

Niches / Dark + First-Person

Niche

Dark + First-Person

Games tagged both Dark and First-Person: 521 indie paid launches, 19 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Dark + First-Person priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Dark + First-Person trails both its tags: 14.6 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.7 in 100 for Dark and 23.2 in 100 for First-Person.

That is about 0.8 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

2NDRunner-up
Tag onemood tagDark
16.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds16.7 in 100
Typical earnings$10,525
Launches168 / 28 hits
Pair trails by2.1 in 100
3RDThird
This pairDark + First-Person
14.6in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds14.6 in 100
Typical earnings$8,906
Launches41 / 6 hits
Expected18.6 in 100
1STWinner
Tag twomood tagFirst-Person
23.2in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds23.2 in 100
Typical earnings$10,321
Launches599 / 139 hits
Pair trails by8.6 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Dark is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 41 games tagged both Dark and First-Person priced $10 to $20. 14.6 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 17.3 for Dark-only games and 23.8 for First-Person-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.

Both: 41 games priced $10 to $20; 14.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $8,906.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 41 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

No, I'm not a Humanleads this pair24.6%
PairNo, I'm not a Human24.6%
DarkMouthwashing11.5%
First-PersonSchedule I16.7%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Dark + First-Person

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • No, I'm not a Human earned 24.6% of the estimated first-year money of the 521 Dark + First-Person launches.
  • Dark is led by Mouthwashing, with 11.5% of its money.
  • First-Person is led by Schedule I, with 16.7% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Dark + First-Person holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Dark + First-Person through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view512 of 521 launchesWithout the breakout520 of 521 launchesLast 18 months282 of 521 launches
Launches counted52119 hits51219 hits52018 hits2828 hits
Earned $100k+3.6 in 1001 in 283.7 in 1001 in 273.5 in 1001 in 292.8 in 1001 in 36
Typical first-year earnings$725top tenth $21,010+$707$725$606
Chance against standardthe yardstick+2.8%0.1 more in 100-2.8%0.1 fewer in 100-22.2%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick-2.5%$18 less0.0%no change-16.4%$119 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Dark and First-Person, 6 to 30 months old: 521 launches.

Launches counted
52119 hits
Earned $100k+
3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings
$725top tenth $21,010+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 9 of 521 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
51219 hits
Earned $100k+
3.7 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings
$707
Chance against standard
+2.8%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
-2.5%$18 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, No, I'm not a Human (24.6% of the money): 520 launches left.

Launches counted
52018 hits
Earned $100k+
3.5 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings
$725
Chance against standard
-2.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 282 of 521.

Launches counted
2828 hits
Earned $100k+
2.8 in 1001 in 36
Typical first-year earnings
$606
Chance against standard
-22.2%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-16.4%$119 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Dark and First-Person, 6 to 30 months old: 521 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 9 of 521 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, No, I'm not a Human (24.6% of the money): 520 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 282 of 521.

Dark holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Dark through every lens, all prices
DarkBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,414 of 1,445 launchesWithout the breakout1,444 of 1,445 launchesLast 18 months785 of 1,445 launches
Launches counted1,44574 hits1,41472 hits1,44473 hits78534 hits
Earned $100k+5.1 in 1001 in 205.1 in 1001 in 205.1 in 1001 in 204.3 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings$849top tenth $28,119+$887$849$808
Chance against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change-15.7%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+4.5%$38 more0.0%no change-4.8%$41 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Dark, 6 to 30 months old: 1,445 launches.

Launches counted
1,44574 hits
Earned $100k+
5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$849top tenth $28,119+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 31 of 1,445 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,41472 hits
Earned $100k+
5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$887
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
+4.5%$38 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Mouthwashing (11.5% of the money): 1,444 launches left.

Launches counted
1,44473 hits
Earned $100k+
5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$849
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 785 of 1,445.

Launches counted
78534 hits
Earned $100k+
4.3 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings
$808
Chance against standard
-15.7%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-4.8%$41 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Dark, 6 to 30 months old: 1,445 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 31 of 1,445 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Mouthwashing (11.5% of the money): 1,444 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 785 of 1,445.

First-Person holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

First-Person through every lens, all prices
First-PersonBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view4,135 of 4,266 launchesWithout the breakout4,265 of 4,266 launchesLast 18 months2,372 of 4,266 launches
Launches counted4,266296 hits4,135284 hits4,265295 hits2,372163 hits
Earned $100k+6.9 in 1001 in 146.9 in 1001 in 146.9 in 1001 in 146.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$849top tenth $40,885+$849$849$728
Chance against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change0.0%no change
Typical against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change-14.3%$121 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 6 to 30 months old: 4,266 launches.

Launches counted
4,266296 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$849top tenth $40,885+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 131 of 4,266 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
4,135284 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$849
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (16.7% of the money): 4,265 launches left.

Launches counted
4,265295 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$849
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,372 of 4,266.

Launches counted
2,372163 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$728
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
-14.3%$121 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 6 to 30 months old: 4,266 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 131 of 4,266 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (16.7% of the money): 4,265 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,372 of 4,266.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Dark + First-Person moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.