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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Dark + FPS

Niche

Dark + FPS

Games tagged both Dark and FPS: 83 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Dark + FPS priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Dark and is about level with FPS; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Dark and is too small to compare with FPS.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Dark + FPS is too small to compare with Dark and is too small to compare with FPS: 2 of its 11 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 24.2 in 100 for Dark and 25.0 in 100 for FPS.

Small sample: 11 launches, 2 hits.

TIEA tie
Tag onemood tagDark
24.2in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds24.2 in 100
Typical earnings$15,598
Launches149 / 36 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairDark + FPS
2 of 11launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds2 of 11 launches
$1k+10 of 11 launches
$10k+4 of 11 launches
Launches11 / 2 hits
Expected20.4 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twoFPS
25.0in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds25.0 in 100
Typical earnings$11,290
Launches220 / 55 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Dark is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices83 in pairUnder $552 in pair$5 to $1017 in pair$10 to $2011 in pair$20 to $403: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 11 games tagged both Dark and FPS priced $10 to $20. 2 of 11 of them earned $100k+, against 24.6 in 100 for Dark-only games and 25.4 in 100 for FPS-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Dark alone and is too small to compare with FPS alone.

Both: 11 games priced $10 to $20; 2 of 11 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 10 of 11 launches · $10k+ 4 of 11 launches · $100k+ 2 of 11 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 11 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Project Silverfishleads this pair44.6%
PairProject Silverfish44.6%
DarkNo, I'm not a Human12.9%
FPSGray Zone Warfare20.9%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Dark + FPS

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Project Silverfish earned 44.6% of the estimated first-year money of the 83 Dark + FPS launches.
  • Dark is led by No, I'm not a Human, with 12.9% of its money.
  • FPS is led by Gray Zone Warfare, with 20.9% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Dark + FPS holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Dark + FPS through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view80 of 83 launchesWithout the breakout82 of 83 launchesLast 18 months16 of 83 launches
Launches counted835 hits805 hits824 hits162 hits
Earned $100k+6.0 in 1001 in 176.3 in 1001 in 164 of 82too few for a rate2 of 16too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+14 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 43 in 100under 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base+3.8%0.2 more in 100-19.0%1.1 fewer in 100+107.5%6.5 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe baseunder 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Dark and FPS, 12 to 36 months old: 83 launches.

Launches counted
835 hits
Earned $100k+
6.0 in 1001 in 17
Chance of $10k+
14 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 43 in 100
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 83 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
805 hits
Earned $100k+
6.3 in 1001 in 16
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+3.8%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Project Silverfish (44.6% of the money): 82 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
824 hits
Earned $100k+
4 of 82too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-19.0%1.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 16 of 83.

Launches counted
162 hits
Earned $100k+
2 of 16too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+107.5%6.5 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Dark and FPS, 12 to 36 months old: 83 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 83 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Project Silverfish (44.6% of the money): 82 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 16 of 83.

Dark holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Dark through every lens, all prices
DarkBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,201 of 1,224 launchesWithout the breakout1,223 of 1,224 launchesLast 18 months343 of 1,224 launches
Launches counted1,22473 hits1,20171 hits1,22372 hits34320 hits
Earned $100k+6.0 in 1001 in 175.9 in 1001 in 175.9 in 1001 in 175.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings$884top tenth $36,744+$884$862$884
Chance against standardthe base-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100-1.3%0.1 fewer in 100-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base0.0%no change-2.5%$22 less0.0%no change
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Dark, 12 to 36 months old: 1,224 launches.

Launches counted
1,22473 hits
Earned $100k+
6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$884top tenth $36,744+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 23 of 1,224 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,20171 hits
Earned $100k+
5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$884
Chance against standard
-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, No, I'm not a Human (12.9% of the money): 1,223 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,22372 hits
Earned $100k+
5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$862
Chance against standard
-1.3%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-2.5%$22 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 343 of 1,224.

Launches counted
34320 hits
Earned $100k+
5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$884
Chance against standard
-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Dark, 12 to 36 months old: 1,224 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 23 of 1,224 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, No, I'm not a Human (12.9% of the money): 1,223 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 343 of 1,224.

FPS holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

FPS through every lens, all prices
FPSBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,259 of 1,295 launchesWithout the breakout1,294 of 1,295 launchesLast 18 months379 of 1,295 launches
Launches counted1,295111 hits1,259110 hits1,294110 hits37940 hits
Earned $100k+8.6 in 1001 in 128.7 in 1001 in 118.5 in 1001 in 1210.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$548top tenth $59,450+$558$548$625
Chance against standardthe base+1.9%0.2 more in 100-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100+23.1%2.0 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+1.8%$10 more0.0%no change+14.1%$77 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged FPS, 12 to 36 months old: 1,295 launches.

Launches counted
1,295111 hits
Earned $100k+
8.6 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$548top tenth $59,450+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 36 of 1,295 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,259110 hits
Earned $100k+
8.7 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$558
Chance against standard
+1.9%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
+1.8%$10 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (20.9% of the money): 1,294 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,294110 hits
Earned $100k+
8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$548
Chance against standard
-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 379 of 1,295.

Launches counted
37940 hits
Earned $100k+
10.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$625
Chance against standard
+23.1%2.0 more in 100
Typical against standard
+14.1%$77 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged FPS, 12 to 36 months old: 1,295 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 36 of 1,295 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (20.9% of the money): 1,294 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 379 of 1,295.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Dark + FPS moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.