Niche

Dark + Stealth

Games tagged both Dark and Stealth: 42 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing Dark + Stealth priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Dark and is about level with Stealth; priced under $5 it is too small to compare with Dark and is too small to compare with Stealth.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Dark + Stealth is too small to compare with Dark and is too small to compare with Stealth: 0 of its 19 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 4 of 705 launches for Dark and 0 of 173 launches for Stealth.

Small sample: 19 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagDark

4 of 705launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds4 of 705 launches

Typical earnings$315

Launches705 / 4 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairDark + Stealth

0 of 19launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 19 launches

$1k+4 of 19 launches

$10k+1 of 19 launches

Launches19 / 0 hits

Expected0.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoStealth

0 of 173launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 173 launches

Typical earnings$175

Launches173 / 0 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 238), typical $158, from 13,785 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Dark is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices42 in pair Under $519 in pair $5 to $1012 in pair$10 to $209: too few$20 to $402: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 19 games tagged both Dark and Stealth priced under $5. 0 of 19 of them earned $100k+, against 4 of 686 for Dark-only games and 0 of 154 for Stealth-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Dark alone and is too small to compare with Stealth alone.

Both: 19 games priced under $5; 0 of 19 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 4 of 19 launches · $10k+ 1 of 19 launches · $100k+ 0 of 19 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 19 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

The Midnight Walkleads this pair61.2%

PairThe Midnight Walk61.2%

DarkNo, I'm not a Human12.9%

StealthR.E.P.O.65.4%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Dark + Stealth

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

The Midnight Walk earned 61.2% of the estimated first-year money of the 42 Dark + Stealth launches.
Dark is led by No, I'm not a Human, with 12.9% of its money.
Stealth is led by R.E.P.O., with 65.4% of its money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Dark + Stealth is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

Dark + Stealth through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view41 of 42 launches	Without the breakout41 of 42 launches	Last 18 months13 of 42 launches
Launches counted	426 hits	416 hits	415 hits	132 hits
Earned $100k+	14.3 in 100	14.6 in 100	12.2 in 100	2 of 13too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	33 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 55 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+2.4%0.3 more in 100	-14.6%2.1 fewer in 100	+7.7%1.1 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Dark and Stealth, 12 to 36 months old: 42 launches.

Launches counted: 426 hits
Earned $100k+: 14.3 in 100
Chance of $10k+: 33 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 55 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 42 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 416 hits
Earned $100k+: 14.6 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +2.4%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, The Midnight Walk (61.2% of the money): 41 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 415 hits
Earned $100k+: 12.2 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -14.6%2.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 13 of 42.

Launches counted: 132 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 13too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +7.7%1.1 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Dark and Stealth, 12 to 36 months old: 42 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 42 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, The Midnight Walk (61.2% of the money): 41 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 13 of 42.

Dark holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Dark through every lens, all prices
Dark	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,201 of 1,224 launches	Without the breakout1,223 of 1,224 launches	Last 18 months343 of 1,224 launches
Launches counted	1,22473 hits	1,20171 hits	1,22372 hits	34320 hits
Earned $100k+	6.0 in 1001 in 17	5.9 in 1001 in 17	5.9 in 1001 in 17	5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings	$884top tenth $36,744+	$884	$862	$884
Chance against standard	the base	-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100	-1.3%0.1 fewer in 100	-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	-2.5%$22 less	0.0%no change
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Dark, 12 to 36 months old: 1,224 launches.

Launches counted: 1,22473 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $884top tenth $36,744+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 23 of 1,224 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,20171 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $884
Chance against standard: -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, No, I'm not a Human (12.9% of the money): 1,223 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,22372 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $862
Chance against standard: -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -2.5%$22 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 343 of 1,224.

Launches counted: 34320 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $884
Chance against standard: -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Dark, 12 to 36 months old: 1,224 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 23 of 1,224 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, No, I'm not a Human (12.9% of the money): 1,223 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 343 of 1,224.

Stealth is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.

Stealth through every lens, all prices
Stealth	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view344 of 353 launches	Without the breakout352 of 353 launches	Last 18 months102 of 353 launches
Launches counted	35343 hits	34442 hits	35242 hits	10210 hits
Earned $100k+	12.2 in 100	12.2 in 100	11.9 in 100	9.8 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings	$724top tenth $135,017+	$748	$724	$625
Chance against standard	the base	+0.2%no change	-2.0%0.2 fewer in 100	-19.5%2.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+3.3%$24 more	0.0%no change	-13.7%$99 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Stealth, 12 to 36 months old: 353 launches.

Launches counted: 35343 hits
Earned $100k+: 12.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $724top tenth $135,017+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 9 of 353 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 34442 hits
Earned $100k+: 12.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $748
Chance against standard: +0.2%no change
Typical against standard: +3.3%$24 more

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (65.4% of the money): 352 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 35242 hits
Earned $100k+: 11.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $724
Chance against standard: -2.0%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 102 of 353.

Launches counted: 10210 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.8 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $625
Chance against standard: -19.5%2.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -13.7%$99 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Stealth, 12 to 36 months old: 353 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 9 of 353 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (65.4% of the money): 352 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 102 of 353.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Dark + Stealth moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.