Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Dark + Survival Horror
Dark + Survival Horror
Games tagged both Dark and Survival Horror: 212 indie paid launches, 15 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Dark + Survival Horror priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Dark and is level with Survival Horror; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Dark + Survival Horror trails both its tags: 4 of its 27 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.7 in 100 for Dark and 20.0 in 100 for Survival Horror.
Small sample: 27 launches, 4 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 27 games tagged both Dark and Survival Horror priced $10 to $20. 14.8 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 17.0 for Dark-only games and 21.3 for Survival Horror-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 27 games priced $10 to $20; 14.8 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $11,231.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 27 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Dark + Survival Horror holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view211 of 212 launches | Without the breakout211 of 212 launches | Last 18 months115 of 212 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 21215 hits | 21115 hits | 21114 hits | 1158 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,213top tenth $37,721+ | $1,213 | $1,213 | $1,213 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -7.0%0.5 fewer in 100 | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Dark and Survival Horror, 6 to 30 months old: 212 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 212 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Project Silverfish (25.3% of the money): 211 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 115 of 212.
Dark holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Dark | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,414 of 1,445 launches | Without the breakout1,444 of 1,445 launches | Last 18 months785 of 1,445 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,44574 hits | 1,41472 hits | 1,44473 hits | 78534 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $849top tenth $28,119+ | $887 | $849 | $808 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -15.7%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.5%$38 more | 0.0%no change | -4.8%$41 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Dark, 6 to 30 months old: 1,445 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 31 of 1,445 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mouthwashing (11.5% of the money): 1,444 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 785 of 1,445.
Survival Horror holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Survival Horror | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,001 of 1,025 launches | Without the breakout1,024 of 1,025 launches | Last 18 months554 of 1,025 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,02576 hits | 1,00175 hits | 1,02475 hits | 55435 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.4 in 1001 in 14 | 7.5 in 1001 in 13 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,029top tenth $49,770+ | $1,029 | $1,029 | $1,010 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.4%0.1 more in 100 | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -14.9%1.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -1.8%$19 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Survival Horror, 6 to 30 months old: 1,025 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 1,025 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, No More Room in Hell 2 (11.5% of the money): 1,024 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 554 of 1,025.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Dark + Survival Horror moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.