Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Dating Sim + Romance
Dating Sim + Romance
Games tagged both Dating Sim and Romance: 265 indie paid launches, 21 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Dating Sim + Romance priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Dating Sim + Romance trails Dating Sim and beats Romance: 16.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 18.9 in 100 for Dating Sim and 12.7 in 100 for Romance.
That is about 0.9 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 78 games tagged both Dating Sim and Romance priced $10 to $20. 16.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 20.6 for Dating Sim-only games and 9.7 for Romance-only games, so the mix trails Dating Sim alone and beats Romance alone.
Both: 78 games priced $10 to $20; 16.7 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $9,226.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 78 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Dating Sim + Romance is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view212 of 265 launches | Without the breakout264 of 265 launches | Last 18 months139 of 265 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 26521 hits | 21217 hits | 26420 hits | 1398 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 | 8.0 in 1001 in 13 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $3,116top tenth $66,288+ | $2,834 | $3,116 | $2,530 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.3%0.1 more in 100 | -3.8%0.3 fewer in 100 | -26.6%2.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -9.1%$282 less | 0.0%no change | -18.8%$586 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Dating Sim and Romance, 6 to 30 months old: 265 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 53 of 265 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Fields of Mistria (55.1% of the money): 264 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 139 of 265.
Dating Sim is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Dating Sim | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view517 of 670 launches | Without the breakout669 of 670 launches | Last 18 months348 of 670 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 67062 hits | 51740 hits | 66961 hits | 34829 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.3 in 1001 in 11 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,265top tenth $85,976+ | $1,841 | $2,265 | $1,698 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -17.2%1.6 fewer in 100 | -2.2%0.2 fewer in 100 | -10.8%1.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -18.7%$424 less | 0.0%no change | -25.0%$567 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Dating Sim, 6 to 30 months old: 670 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 153 of 670 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (19.7% of the money): 669 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 348 of 670.
Romance is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Romance | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view550 of 628 launches | Without the breakout627 of 628 launches | Last 18 months315 of 628 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 62845 hits | 55039 hits | 62744 hits | 31517 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,324top tenth $57,655+ | $2,265 | $2,324 | $1,732 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -2.8%0.2 fewer in 100 | -25.0%1.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -2.5%$59 less | 0.0%no change | -25.5%$592 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Romance, 6 to 30 months old: 628 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 78 of 628 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Fields of Mistria (24.2% of the money): 627 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 315 of 628.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Dating Sim + Romance moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.