Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Dating Sim + Story Rich
Dating Sim + Story Rich
Games tagged both Dating Sim and Story Rich: 157 indie paid launches, 25 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Dating Sim + Story Rich priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Dating Sim + Story Rich beats both its tags: 24.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 17.2 in 100 for Dating Sim and 18.4 in 100 for Story Rich.
That is about 1.4 times the 17.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 54 games tagged both Dating Sim and Story Rich priced $10 to $20. 24.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.4 in 100 for Dating Sim-only games and 17.9 in 100 for Story Rich-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 54 games priced $10 to $20; 24.1 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $27,144.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 54 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Dating Sim + Story Rich holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view117 of 157 launches | Without the breakout156 of 157 launches | Last 18 months41 of 157 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 15725 hits | 11716 hits | 15624 hits | 418 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 15.9 in 100 | 13.7 in 100 | 15.4 in 100 | 19.5 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $6,911top tenth $177,218+ | $7,371 | $6,911 | $6,332 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -14.1%2.2 fewer in 100 | -3.4%0.5 fewer in 100 | +22.5%3.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +6.7%$460 more | 0.0%no change | -8.4%$579 less; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Dating Sim and Story Rich, 12 to 36 months old: 157 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 40 of 157 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty (28.1% of the money): 156 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 41 of 157.
Dating Sim is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Dating Sim | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view496 of 629 launches | Without the breakout628 of 629 launches | Last 18 months166 of 629 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 62955 hits | 49634 hits | 62854 hits | 16616 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.7 in 1001 in 11 | 6.9 in 1001 in 15 | 8.6 in 1001 in 12 | 9.6 in 1001 in 10 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,104top tenth $84,201+ | $1,916 | $2,104 | $2,104 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -21.6%1.9 fewer in 100 | -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | +10.2%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -8.9%$188 less | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 629 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 133 of 629 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (20.7% of the money): 628 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 166 of 629.
Story Rich is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Story Rich | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,237 of 2,468 launches | Without the breakout2,467 of 2,468 launches | Last 18 months714 of 2,468 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,468254 hits | 2,237212 hits | 2,467253 hits | 71480 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 10.3 in 100 | 9.5 in 1001 in 11 | 10.3 in 100 | 11.2 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,914top tenth $107,480+ | $1,882 | $1,914 | $2,298 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -7.9%0.8 fewer in 100 | -0.4%no change | +8.9%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -1.7%$32 less | 0.0%no change | +20.1%$384 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Story Rich, 12 to 36 months old: 2,468 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 231 of 2,468 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (15.3% of the money): 2,467 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 714 of 2,468.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Dating Sim + Story Rich moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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