Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Detective / Investigation
Detective + Investigation: a typical launch earns $3,963 in its first year
That is the median of 95 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 37 of 187 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 19.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 46% on the year before: 150 against 103.
- Price
- $3,963 median of 95 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +130.4% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 150 103 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 426 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,027 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.57%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.36% to 0.79% | 63 ranked of 426 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #410 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.77xhits against expected | 1.41x to 2.20x | 187 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #312 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +5%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −20% to +32% | 56 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,255 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +12%review growth against same-age games | +2% to +26% | 56 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #231 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 187
- Hit rate
- 19.8%13.1% to 26.1%
- Expected rate
- 10.5%
- Against expected
- 1.77x1.41x to 2.20x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
187 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $202
- Median
- $3,256
- Top tenth
- $229,930
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +46%
- Against Steam
- +6%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- DetectiveNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- InvestigationGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- The Precinct (opens the Steam store)2025 · 7,894 reviews, 87% positiveest. $4.6M
- The Roottrees are Dead (opens the Steam store)2025 · 9,792 reviews, 96% positiveest. $3.3M
- Murders on the Yangtze River (opens the Steam store)2024 · 15,887 reviews, 96% positiveest. $2.9M
- The Operator (opens the Steam store)2024 · 8,526 reviews, 91% positiveest. $2.2M
- Enigma of Fear (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,095 reviews, 95% positiveest. $1.9M
- Escape Simulator 2 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 4,415 reviews, 91% positiveest. $1.7M
- The Séance of Blake Manor (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,736 reviews, 95% positiveest. $1.5M
- The Rise of the Golden Idol (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,797 reviews, 92% positiveest. $1.5M
More with Detective
pairs with Detective- Visual Novel + Detective$5,29368 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months
- Detective + Mystery$5,207106 launches priced, 184 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Detective$4,125108 launches priced, 153 releases in 12 months
- Point & Click + Detective$2,10470 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Detective$1,94182 launches priced, 113 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Detective$1,619120 launches priced, 201 releases in 12 months
More with Investigation
pairs with Investigation- Story Rich + Investigation$8,90370 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Investigation$4,88542 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- Point & Click + Investigation$4,85753 launches priced, 84 releases in 12 months
- Mystery + Investigation$3,336112 launches priced, 171 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Investigation$2,89337 launches priced, 79 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Investigation$2,183117 launches priced, 167 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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