Niche

Detective + Visual Novel

Games tagged both Detective and Visual Novel: 146 indie paid launches, 15 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Detective + Visual Novel priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is level with Detective and beats Visual Novel; priced $10 to $20 it trails Detective and beats Visual Novel.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Detective + Visual Novel trails Detective and beats Visual Novel: 23.5 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 24.1 in 100 for Detective and 14.6 in 100 for Visual Novel.

That is about 1.3 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

1STWinner

Tag oneDetective

24.1in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds24.1 in 100

Typical earnings$10,665

Launches141 / 34 hits

Pair trails by0.6 in 100

2NDRunner-up

This pairDetective + Visual Novel

23.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds23.5 in 100

Typical earnings$27,931

Launches34 / 8 hits

Expected18.6 in 100

3RDThird

Tag twoVisual Novel

14.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds14.6 in 100

Typical earnings$7,366

Launches460 / 67 hits

Pair leads by8.9 in 100

All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices146 in pair Under $549 in pair $5 to $1055 in pair $10 to $2034 in pair$20 to $408: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 34 games tagged both Detective and Visual Novel priced $10 to $20. 23.5 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 24.3 for Detective-only games and 13.8 for Visual Novel-only games, so the mix trails Detective alone and beats Visual Novel alone.

Both: 34 games priced $10 to $20; 23.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $27,931.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 34 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Master Detective Archives: RAIN CODE Plusleads this pair18.1%

PairMaster Detective Archives: RAIN CODE Plus18.1%

DetectiveThe Precinct12.6%

Visual NovelUntil Then7.5%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Detective + Visual Novel

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Master Detective Archives: RAIN CODE Plus earned 18.1% of the estimated first-year money of the 146 Detective + Visual Novel launches.
Detective is led by The Precinct, with 12.6% of its money.
Visual Novel is led by Until Then, with 7.5% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Detective + Visual Novel is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.

Detective + Visual Novel through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view117 of 146 launches	Without the breakout145 of 146 launches	Last 18 months80 of 146 launches
Launches counted	14615 hits	11711 hits	14514 hits	806 hits
Earned $100k+	10.3 in 100	9.4 in 1001 in 11	9.7 in 1001 in 10	7.5 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings	$3,070top tenth $116,847+	$1,816	$2,832	$1,718
Chance against standard	the yardstick	-8.7%0.9 fewer in 100	-5.8%0.6 fewer in 100	-27.2%2.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the yardstick	-40.8%$1,254 less	-7.8%$238 less	-44.0%$1,352 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Detective and Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 146 launches.

Launches counted: 14615 hits
Earned $100k+: 10.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $3,070top tenth $116,847+
Chance against standard: the yardstick
Typical against standard: the yardstick

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 29 of 146 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 11711 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.4 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,816
Chance against standard: -8.7%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -40.8%$1,254 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Master Detective Archives: RAIN CODE Plus (18.1% of the money): 145 launches left.

Launches counted: 14514 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.7 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $2,832
Chance against standard: -5.8%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -7.8%$238 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 80 of 146.

Launches counted: 806 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.5 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $1,718
Chance against standard: -27.2%2.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -44.0%$1,352 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Detective and Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 146 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 29 of 146 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Master Detective Archives: RAIN CODE Plus (18.1% of the money): 145 launches left.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 80 of 146.

Detective holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Detective through every lens, all prices
Detective	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view522 of 582 launches	Without the breakout581 of 582 launches	Last 18 months308 of 582 launches
Launches counted	58260 hits	52253 hits	58159 hits	30830 hits
Earned $100k+	10.3 in 100	10.2 in 100	10.2 in 100	9.7 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings	$1,293top tenth $100,542+	$1,293	$1,274	$1,445
Chance against standard	the yardstick	-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100	-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100	-5.8%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the yardstick	0.0%no change	-1.5%$19 less	+11.8%$152 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Detective, 6 to 30 months old: 582 launches.

Launches counted: 58260 hits
Earned $100k+: 10.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,293top tenth $100,542+
Chance against standard: the yardstick
Typical against standard: the yardstick

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 60 of 582 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 52253 hits
Earned $100k+: 10.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,293
Chance against standard: -1.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Precinct (12.6% of the money): 581 launches left.

Launches counted: 58159 hits
Earned $100k+: 10.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,274
Chance against standard: -1.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.5%$19 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 308 of 582.

Launches counted: 30830 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.7 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $1,445
Chance against standard: -5.8%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +11.8%$152 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Detective, 6 to 30 months old: 582 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 60 of 582 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, The Precinct (12.6% of the money): 581 launches left.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 308 of 582.

Visual Novel is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.

Visual Novel through every lens, all prices
Visual Novel	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,823 of 2,114 launches	Without the breakout2,113 of 2,114 launches	Last 18 months1,162 of 2,114 launches
Launches counted	2,114130 hits	1,823100 hits	2,113129 hits	1,16263 hits
Earned $100k+	6.1 in 1001 in 16	5.5 in 1001 in 18	6.1 in 1001 in 16	5.4 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings	$1,293top tenth $48,802+	$1,214	$1,287	$910
Chance against standard	the yardstick	-9.8%0.6 fewer in 100	0.0%no change	-11.5%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the yardstick	-6.1%$79 less	-0.5%$6 less	-29.6%$383 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 2,114 launches.

Launches counted: 2,114130 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.1 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $1,293top tenth $48,802+
Chance against standard: the yardstick
Typical against standard: the yardstick

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 291 of 2,114 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,823100 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.5 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $1,214
Chance against standard: -9.8%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -6.1%$79 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Until Then (7.5% of the money): 2,113 launches left.

Launches counted: 2,113129 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.1 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $1,287
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: -0.5%$6 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,162 of 2,114.

Launches counted: 1,16263 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.4 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $910
Chance against standard: -11.5%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -29.6%$383 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 2,114 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 291 of 2,114 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Until Then (7.5% of the money): 2,113 launches left.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,162 of 2,114.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Detective + Visual Novel moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.