Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Difficult + Physics
Games tagged both Difficult and Physics: 151 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Difficult + Physics priced $10 to $20, without the breakout, hiding samples under 100 launches. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
20 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
20 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 20 games tagged both Difficult and Physics priced $10 to $20. 15.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 23.3 for Difficult-only games and 17.8 for Physics-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 20 games priced $10 to $20; 15.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $13,660.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 20 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The without the breakout lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Difficult + Physics holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view148 of 151 launches | Without the breakout150 of 151 launches | Last 18 months76 of 151 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1516 hits | 1486 hits | 1505 hits | 763 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $806top tenth $17,977+ | $806 | $806 | $806 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +2.5%0.1 more in 100 | -17.5%0.7 fewer in 100 | -2.5%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Difficult and Physics, 6 to 30 months old: 151 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 151 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, VOID/BREAKER (43.3% of the money): 150 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 76 of 151.
Difficult holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Difficult | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,038 of 1,051 launches | Without the breakout1,050 of 1,051 launches | Last 18 months541 of 1,051 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,05171 hits | 1,03870 hits | 1,05070 hits | 54132 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.8 in 1001 in 15 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,133top tenth $56,182+ | $1,150 | $1,133 | $971 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | -13.2%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +1.5%$17 more | 0.0%no change | -14.3%$162 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Difficult, 6 to 30 months old: 1,051 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 1,051 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (57.2% of the money): 1,050 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 541 of 1,051.
Physics holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Physics | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,277 of 1,303 launches | Without the breakout1,302 of 1,303 launches | Last 18 months723 of 1,303 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,30384 hits | 1,27783 hits | 1,30283 hits | 72352 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 6.5 in 1001 in 15 | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $527top tenth $34,097+ | $564 | $527 | $606 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.6%0.1 more in 100 | 0.0%no change | +12.5%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +7.0%$37 more | 0.0%no change | +15.0%$79 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Physics, 6 to 30 months old: 1,303 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 1,303 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (29.2% of the money): 1,302 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 723 of 1,303.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Difficult + Physics moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.