Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Difficult / Souls-like
Difficult + Souls-like: a typical launch earns $2,123 in its first year
That is the median of 41 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 15 of 77 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 8.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 17% on the year before: 39 against 47.
- Price
- $2,123 median of 41 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −46.2% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 39 47 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 160 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 438 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.95%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.15% to 2.45% | 38 ranked of 160 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,314 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.56xhits against expected | 1.14x to 2.12x | 77 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #620 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| +83%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +31% to +139% | 37 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #27 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| +7%review growth against same-age games | −6% to +19% | 37 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,643 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 77
- Hit rate
- 18.4%9.4% to 26.0%
- Expected rate
- 11.1%
- Against expected
- 1.56x1.14x to 2.12x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
76 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $151
- Median
- $2,030
- Top tenth
- $260,690
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −17%
- Against Steam
- −41%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- DifficultNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- Souls-likeGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Hollow Knight: Silksong (opens the Steam store)2025 · 388,163 reviews, 89% positiveest. $140M
- Nine Sols (opens the Steam store)2024 · 40,347 reviews, 94% positiveest. $23M
- Mandragora: Whispers of the Witch Tree (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,043 reviews, 75% positiveest. $2.3M
- Enotria: The Last Song (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,197 reviews, 69% positiveest. $1.7M
- Rubinite (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,989 reviews, 94% positiveest. $1.5M
- Tails of Iron 2: Whiskers of Winter (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,874 reviews, 79% positiveest. $948k
- AWAKEN - Astral Blade (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,130 reviews, 82% positiveest. $457k
- Spark in the Dark (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,200 reviews, 87% positiveest. $413k
More with Difficult
pairs with Difficult- RPG + Difficult$8,09240 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Difficult$3,64173 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Difficult$3,03570 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Action Roguelike$2,42672 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Bullet Hell$2,12150 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Difficult$2,11955 launches priced, 63 releases in 12 months
More with Souls-like
pairs with Souls-like- Exploration + Souls-like$4,45048 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Souls-like$3,09670 launches priced, 113 releases in 12 months
- Action RPG + Souls-like$1,78076 launches priced, 118 releases in 12 months
- Souls-like + Action Roguelike$1,41633 launches priced, 42 releases in 12 months
- Hack and Slash + Souls-like$1,18654 launches priced, 70 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Souls-like$1,15753 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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