Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Emotional + Visual Novel
Emotional + Visual Novel
Games tagged both Emotional and Visual Novel: 242 indie paid launches, 19 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Emotional + Visual Novel priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is level with Emotional and beats Visual Novel; priced $10 to $20 it trails Emotional and beats Visual Novel.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Emotional + Visual Novel trails Emotional and beats Visual Novel: 18.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 19.5 in 100 for Emotional and 14.6 in 100 for Visual Novel.
That is about 1.0 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 50 games tagged both Emotional and Visual Novel priced $10 to $20. 18.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 20.5 for Emotional-only games and 14.1 for Visual Novel-only games, so the mix trails Emotional alone and beats Visual Novel alone.
Both: 50 games priced $10 to $20; 18.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $9,914.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 50 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Emotional + Visual Novel holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view201 of 242 launches | Without the breakout241 of 242 launches | Last 18 months141 of 242 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 24219 hits | 20117 hits | 24118 hits | 14111 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 7.5 in 1001 in 13 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,941top tenth $75,292+ | $1,578 | $1,938 | $1,802 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +7.6%0.6 more in 100 | -5.1%0.4 fewer in 100 | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -18.7%$363 less | -0.2%$3 less | -7.2%$139 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Emotional and Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 242 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 41 of 242 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Until Then (44.9% of the money): 241 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 141 of 242.
Emotional holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Emotional | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view579 of 646 launches | Without the breakout645 of 646 launches | Last 18 months375 of 646 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 64650 hits | 57944 hits | 64549 hits | 37527 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,334top tenth $71,625+ | $1,214 | $1,314 | $1,214 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -6.5%0.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -9.0%$120 less | -1.5%$20 less | -9.0%$120 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Emotional, 6 to 30 months old: 646 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 67 of 646 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (67.2% of the money): 645 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 375 of 646.
Visual Novel is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Visual Novel | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,823 of 2,114 launches | Without the breakout2,113 of 2,114 launches | Last 18 months1,162 of 2,114 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,114130 hits | 1,823100 hits | 2,113129 hits | 1,16263 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.1 in 1001 in 16 | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 | 6.1 in 1001 in 16 | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,293top tenth $48,802+ | $1,214 | $1,287 | $910 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -9.8%0.6 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -11.5%0.7 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -6.1%$79 less | -0.5%$6 less | -29.6%$383 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 2,114 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 291 of 2,114 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Until Then (7.5% of the money): 2,113 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,162 of 2,114.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Emotional + Visual Novel moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.