Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Exploration + FPS
Exploration + FPS
Games tagged both Exploration and FPS: 221 indie paid launches, 17 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Exploration + FPS priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Exploration and is about level with FPS; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Exploration + FPS trails both its tags: 16.3 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 20.8 in 100 for Exploration and 25.0 in 100 for FPS.
That is about 0.8 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 43 games tagged both Exploration and FPS priced $10 to $20. 16.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 21.1 in 100 for Exploration-only games and 27.1 in 100 for FPS-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 43 games priced $10 to $20; 16.3 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 86 in 100 · $10k+ 56 in 100 · $100k+ 16 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 43 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Exploration + FPS holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view217 of 221 launches | Without the breakout220 of 221 launches | Last 18 months67 of 221 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 22117 hits | 21717 hits | 22016 hits | 677 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 10.4 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $862top tenth $32,873+ | $880 | $862 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.8%0.1 more in 100 | -5.5%0.4 fewer in 100 | +35.8%2.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.1%$18 more | 0.0%no change | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Exploration and FPS, 12 to 36 months old: 221 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 221 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Witchfire (29.7% of the money): 220 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 67 of 221.
Exploration holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Exploration | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,381 of 4,582 launches | Without the breakout4,581 of 4,582 launches | Last 18 months1,268 of 4,582 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,582382 hits | 4,381366 hits | 4,581381 hits | 1,268105 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 | 8.4 in 1001 in 12 | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $877top tenth $65,025+ | $901 | $877 | $884 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.2%no change | -0.2%no change | -0.7%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.7%$24 more | 0.0%no change | +0.8%$7 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 12 to 36 months old: 4,582 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 4,582 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (22.3% of the money): 4,581 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,268 of 4,582.
FPS holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| FPS | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,259 of 1,295 launches | Without the breakout1,294 of 1,295 launches | Last 18 months379 of 1,295 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,295111 hits | 1,259110 hits | 1,294110 hits | 37940 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.6 in 1001 in 12 | 8.7 in 1001 in 11 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 10.6 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $548top tenth $59,450+ | $558 | $548 | $625 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.9%0.2 more in 100 | -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | +23.1%2.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.8%$10 more | 0.0%no change | +14.1%$77 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged FPS, 12 to 36 months old: 1,295 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 36 of 1,295 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (20.9% of the money): 1,294 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 379 of 1,295.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Exploration + FPS moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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