Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Exploration + Psychological Horror
Exploration + Psychological Horror
Games tagged both Exploration and Psychological Horror: 816 indie paid launches, 41 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Exploration + Psychological Horror priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Exploration and is level with Psychological Horror; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Exploration + Psychological Horror trails both its tags: 18.4 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 20.1 in 100 for Exploration and 19.7 in 100 for Psychological Horror.
That is about 1.0 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 87 games tagged both Exploration and Psychological Horror priced $10 to $20. 18.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 20.3 for Exploration-only games and 20.6 for Psychological Horror-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 87 games priced $10 to $20; 18.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $16,046.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 87 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Exploration + Psychological Horror is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view790 of 816 launches | Without the breakout815 of 816 launches | Last 18 months419 of 816 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 81641 hits | 79038 hits | 81540 hits | 41915 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,516top tenth $26,063+ | $1,516 | $1,514 | $1,131 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -4.0%0.2 fewer in 100 | -2.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | -28.0%1.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -0.1%$2 less | -25.4%$385 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Exploration and Psychological Horror, 6 to 30 months old: 816 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 816 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Crow Country (13.1% of the money): 815 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 419 of 816.
Exploration holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Exploration | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,867 of 5,078 launches | Without the breakout5,077 of 5,078 launches | Last 18 months2,727 of 5,078 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,078397 hits | 4,867377 hits | 5,077396 hits | 2,727190 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $908top tenth $58,608+ | $909 | $902 | $728 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -10.3%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.1%$1 more | -0.7%$6 less | -19.8%$180 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 6 to 30 months old: 5,078 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 211 of 5,078 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (20.7% of the money): 5,077 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,727 of 5,078.
Psychological Horror holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Psychological Horror | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,390 of 2,500 launches | Without the breakout2,499 of 2,500 launches | Last 18 months1,334 of 2,500 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,500136 hits | 2,390127 hits | 2,499135 hits | 1,33456 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 | 5.3 in 1001 in 19 | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,314top tenth $30,835+ | $1,314 | $1,314 | $1,112 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -22.2%1.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -15.4%$202 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Psychological Horror, 6 to 30 months old: 2,500 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 110 of 2,500 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mouthwashing (7.5% of the money): 2,499 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,334 of 2,500.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Exploration + Psychological Horror moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.