Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Family Friendly + Pixel Graphics
Family Friendly + Pixel Graphics
Games tagged both Family Friendly and Pixel Graphics: 147 indie paid launches, 2 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Family Friendly + Pixel Graphics priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails both its tags; priced under $5 it is level with Family Friendly and trails Pixel Graphics.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Family Friendly + Pixel Graphics is level with Family Friendly and trails Pixel Graphics: 0.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.1 in 100 for Family Friendly and 0.8 in 100 for Pixel Graphics.
That is about 0.0 times the 0.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 103 games tagged both Family Friendly and Pixel Graphics priced under $5. 0.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 0.2 for Family Friendly-only games and 0.8 for Pixel Graphics-only games, so the mix is level with Family Friendly alone and trails Pixel Graphics alone.
Both: 103 games priced under $5; 0.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $202.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 103 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Family Friendly + Pixel Graphics is one-hit market: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view147 of 147 launches | Without the breakout146 of 147 launches | Last 18 months75 of 147 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1472 hits | 1472 hits | 1461 hits | 751 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.4 in 1001 in 71 | 1.4 in 1001 in 71 | 0.7 in 1001 in 143 | 1.3 in 1001 in 77 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $323top tenth $6,374+ | $323 | $323 | $282 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -50.0%0.7 fewer in 100 | -7.1%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -12.7%$41 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Family Friendly and Pixel Graphics, 6 to 30 months old: 147 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 147 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Tetris® Forever (29.4% of the money): 146 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 75 of 147.
Family Friendly holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Family Friendly | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,382 of 1,390 launches | Without the breakout1,389 of 1,390 launches | Last 18 months743 of 1,390 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,39052 hits | 1,38251 hits | 1,38951 hits | 74323 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.7 in 1001 in 27 | 3.7 in 1001 in 27 | 3.7 in 1001 in 27 | 3.1 in 1001 in 32 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $401top tenth $19,435+ | $401 | $401 | $303 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -16.2%0.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -24.4%$98 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Family Friendly, 6 to 30 months old: 1,390 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 1,390 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Little Kitty, Big City (14.6% of the money): 1,389 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 743 of 1,390.
Pixel Graphics holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Pixel Graphics | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,987 of 4,188 launches | Without the breakout4,187 of 4,188 launches | Last 18 months2,352 of 4,188 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,188220 hits | 3,987201 hits | 4,187219 hits | 2,352116 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.3 in 1001 in 19 | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $485top tenth $31,416+ | $485 | $485 | $405 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -5.7%0.3 fewer in 100 | -1.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -7.5%0.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -16.5%$80 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Pixel Graphics, 6 to 30 months old: 4,188 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 4,188 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (27.7% of the money): 4,187 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,352 of 4,188.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Family Friendly + Pixel Graphics moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.