Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Family Friendly + Puzzle
Family Friendly + Puzzle
Games tagged both Family Friendly and Puzzle: 494 indie paid launches, 9 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Family Friendly + Puzzle priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Family Friendly + Puzzle trails both its tags: 7.4 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 10.3 in 100 for Family Friendly and 13.8 in 100 for Puzzle.
That is 1 in 14, about 0.4 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 68 games tagged both Family Friendly and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 7.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 11.5 for Family Friendly-only games and 14.4 for Puzzle-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 68 games priced $10 to $20; 7.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 14), typical first-year earnings $2,428.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 68 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Family Friendly + Puzzle holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view492 of 494 launches | Without the breakout493 of 494 launches | Last 18 months273 of 494 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4949 hits | 4929 hits | 4938 hits | 2734 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.8 in 1001 in 56 | 1.8 in 1001 in 56 | 1.6 in 1001 in 63 | 1.5 in 1001 in 67 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $303top tenth $5,659+ | $303 | $303 | $242 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -11.1%0.2 fewer in 100 | -16.7%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -20.1%$61 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Family Friendly and Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 494 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 494 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Is This Seat Taken? (32.0% of the money): 493 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 273 of 494.
Family Friendly holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Family Friendly | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,382 of 1,390 launches | Without the breakout1,389 of 1,390 launches | Last 18 months743 of 1,390 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,39052 hits | 1,38251 hits | 1,38951 hits | 74323 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.7 in 1001 in 27 | 3.7 in 1001 in 27 | 3.7 in 1001 in 27 | 3.1 in 1001 in 32 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $401top tenth $19,435+ | $401 | $401 | $303 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -16.2%0.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -24.4%$98 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Family Friendly, 6 to 30 months old: 1,390 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 1,390 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Little Kitty, Big City (14.6% of the money): 1,389 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 743 of 1,390.
Puzzle holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Puzzle | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,529 of 5,739 launches | Without the breakout5,738 of 5,739 launches | Last 18 months3,111 of 5,739 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,739203 hits | 5,529192 hits | 5,738202 hits | 3,111106 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $443top tenth $14,400+ | $461 | $443 | $405 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.9%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.1%$18 more | 0.0%no change | -8.6%$38 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 5,739 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 210 of 5,739 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.0% of the money): 5,738 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,111 of 5,739.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Family Friendly + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.