Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Fantasy + Arcade: a typical launch earns $202 in its first year
That is the median of 52 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 1 of 106 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 3.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 65% on the year before: 109 against 66.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $202 median of 52 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −0.1% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 109 66 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 186 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 610 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 5 or more wishlist-ranked upcoming games. | |||
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.60xhits against expected | 0.49x to 1.11x | 106 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,241 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 106
- Hit rate
- 0.9%0.0% to 7.1%
- Expected rate
- 3.4%
- Against expected
- 0.60x0.49x to 1.11x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
106 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $182
- Top tenth
- $4,780
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +65%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Touhou Kinjoukyou ~ Fossilized Wonders. (opens the Steam store)2025 · 837 reviews, 91% positiveest. $254k
- Neptunia Riders VS Dogoos (opens the Steam store)2025 · 113 reviews, 69% positiveest. $92k
- Super Cabbage Kabumi (opens the Steam store)2025 · 125 reviews, 67% positiveest. $38k
- Runix: Pinball Roguelike (opens the Steam store)2026 · 40 reviews, 87% positiveest. $10k to $100k
- Shikhondo: Youkai Rampage (opens the Steam store)2024 · 40 reviews, 77% positiveest. $10k to $100k
- Galaxy Kart VR (opens the Steam store)2023 · 24 reviews, 50% positiveest. $1k to $10k
- Lily Fantasia (opens the Steam store)2026 · 32 reviews, 93% positiveest. $1k to $10k
- Ascendant (opens the Steam store)2025 · 47 reviews, 70% positiveest. $1k to $10k
More with Fantasy
pairs with Fantasy- Fantasy + Strategy RPG$6,98232 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Tactical RPG$3,23736 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Multiple Endings$3,03445 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Female Protagonist$2,18571 launches priced, 101 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Character Customization$2,14452 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Dungeon Crawler$1,86172 launches priced, 121 releases in 12 months
More with Arcade
pairs with Arcade- Co-op + Arcade$1,37646 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Twin Stick Shooter$1,01169 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Female Protagonist$96168 launches priced, 82 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Local Co-Op$96050 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Anime$91052 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Difficult$80679 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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