Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Fantasy + First-Person: a typical launch earns $1,244 in its first year

That is the median of 42 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 92 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 6.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 20% on the year before: 67 against 56.

Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games

Price: $1,244
Price vs a year earlier: +108.6%
Releases, 12 months: 67
Upcoming games: 252
Games on the store: 635

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Fantasy + First-Person on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.35%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.09% to 0.65%	22 ranked of 252 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#4,693 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games	0.78xhits against expected	0.53x to 1.29x	92 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#4,266 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. One game dominates the figure	+9%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−19% to +53%	15 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#1,144 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	−5%review growth against same-age games	−15% to +6%	15 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#2,296 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 4
Expected: 6.0

Launches: 92
Hit rate: 4.3%2.0% to 11.0%
Expected rate: 6.5%
Against expected: 0.78x0.53x to 1.29x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

92 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $890
Top tenth: $30,913

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 67
Prior 12 months: 56

Change: +20%
Against Steam: −13%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

FantasyNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
First-PersonNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Fantasy

pairs with Fantasy

Fantasy + Strategy RPG$6,98232 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
Fantasy + Tactical RPG$3,23736 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
Fantasy + Multiple Endings$3,03445 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
Fantasy + Female Protagonist$2,18571 launches priced, 101 releases in 12 months
Fantasy + Character Customization$2,14452 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
Fantasy + Dungeon Crawler$1,86172 launches priced, 121 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Fantasy

More with First-Person

pairs with First-Person

Co-op + First-Person$11,81190 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Economy$9,96156 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
Building + First-Person$7,38241 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Management$7,08093 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
Crafting + First-Person$6,99934 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Online Co-Op$5,747102 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months

Every pair with First-Person

Verdicts

in development

GMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.