Niche

Fantasy + Magic

Games tagged both Fantasy and Magic: 245 indie paid launches, 12 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Fantasy + Magic priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Fantasy and is about level with Magic; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Fantasy and is too small to compare with Magic.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Fantasy + Magic is too small to compare with Fantasy and is too small to compare with Magic: 3 of its 67 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 13.8 in 100 for Fantasy and 11.3 in 100 for Magic.

Small sample: 67 launches, 3 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagFantasy

13.8in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds13.8 in 100

Typical earnings$5,070

Launches414 / 57 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairFantasy + Magic

3 of 67launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds3 of 67 launches

$1k+81 in 100

$10k+36 in 100

Launches67 / 3 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoMagic

11.3in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds11.3 in 100

Typical earnings$7,252

Launches124 / 14 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Fantasy is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices245 in pair Under $590 in pair $5 to $1075 in pair $10 to $2067 in pair $20 to $4013 in pair

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 67 games tagged both Fantasy and Magic priced $10 to $20. 3 of 67 of them earned $100k+, against 15.6 in 100 for Fantasy-only games and 19.3 in 100 for Magic-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Fantasy alone and is too small to compare with Magic alone.

Both: 67 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 67 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 81 in 100 · $10k+ 36 in 100 · $100k+ 3 of 67 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 67 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

South of Midnightleads this pair44.7%

PairSouth of Midnight44.7%

FantasyGranblue Fantasy: Relink20.1%

MagicSouth of Midnight17.1%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Fantasy + Magic

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

South of Midnight earned 44.7% of the estimated first-year money of the 245 Fantasy + Magic launches.
Fantasy is led by Granblue Fantasy: Relink, with 20.1% of its money.
It also leads Magic, with 17.1% of that tag's money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Fantasy + Magic holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Fantasy + Magic through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view236 of 245 launches	Without the breakout244 of 245 launches	Last 18 months65 of 245 launches
Launches counted	24512 hits	23612 hits	24411 hits	653 hits
Earned $100k+	4.9 in 1001 in 20	5.1 in 1001 in 20	4.5 in 1001 in 22	3 of 65too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$957top tenth $23,924+	$1,017	$957	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+3.8%0.2 more in 100	-8.0%0.4 fewer in 100	-5.8%0.3 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+6.3%$60 more	0.0%no change	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Fantasy and Magic, 12 to 36 months old: 245 launches.

Launches counted: 24512 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.9 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $957top tenth $23,924+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 9 of 245 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 23612 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $1,017
Chance against standard: +3.8%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: +6.3%$60 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, South of Midnight (44.7% of the money): 244 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 24411 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.5 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings: $957
Chance against standard: -8.0%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 65 of 245.

Launches counted: 653 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 65too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -5.8%0.3 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Fantasy and Magic, 12 to 36 months old: 245 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 9 of 245 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, South of Midnight (44.7% of the money): 244 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 65 of 245.

Fantasy is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Fantasy through every lens, all prices
Fantasy	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,727 of 1,807 launches	Without the breakout1,806 of 1,807 launches	Last 18 months519 of 1,807 launches
Launches counted	1,807118 hits	1,727114 hits	1,806117 hits	51942 hits
Earned $100k+	6.5 in 1001 in 15	6.6 in 1001 in 15	6.5 in 1001 in 15	8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings	$618top tenth $35,216+	$638	$618	$780
Chance against standard	the base	+1.1%0.1 more in 100	-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100	+23.9%1.6 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+3.2%$20 more	0.0%no change	+26.2%$162 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 1,807 launches.

Launches counted: 1,807118 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.5 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $618top tenth $35,216+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 80 of 1,807 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,727114 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.6 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $638
Chance against standard: +1.1%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +3.2%$20 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (20.1% of the money): 1,806 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,806117 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.5 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $618
Chance against standard: -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 519 of 1,807.

Launches counted: 51942 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $780
Chance against standard: +23.9%1.6 more in 100
Typical against standard: +26.2%$162 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Fantasy, 12 to 36 months old: 1,807 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 80 of 1,807 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (20.1% of the money): 1,806 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 519 of 1,807.

Magic is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Magic through every lens, all prices
Magic	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view521 of 555 launches	Without the breakout554 of 555 launches	Last 18 months145 of 555 launches
Launches counted	55530 hits	52129 hits	55429 hits	14510 hits
Earned $100k+	5.4 in 1001 in 19	5.6 in 1001 in 18	5.2 in 1001 in 19	6.9 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings	$715top tenth $28,017+	$767	$715	$1,061
Chance against standard	the base	+3.0%0.2 more in 100	-3.2%0.2 fewer in 100	+27.6%1.5 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+7.3%$52 more	0.0%no change	+48.4%$346 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Magic, 12 to 36 months old: 555 launches.

Launches counted: 55530 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.4 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $715top tenth $28,017+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 555 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 52129 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $767
Chance against standard: +3.0%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: +7.3%$52 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, South of Midnight (17.1% of the money): 554 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 55429 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $715
Chance against standard: -3.2%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 145 of 555.

Launches counted: 14510 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.9 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $1,061
Chance against standard: +27.6%1.5 more in 100
Typical against standard: +48.4%$346 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Magic, 12 to 36 months old: 555 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 555 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, South of Midnight (17.1% of the money): 554 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 145 of 555.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Fantasy + Magic moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.