Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Fantasy + Magic: a typical launch earns $1,214 in its first year
That is the median of 137 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 9 of 266 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 22.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 29% on the year before: 217 against 168.
- Price
- $1,214 median of 137 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +67.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 217 168 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 647 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,607 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.75%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.22% to 1.53% | 47 ranked of 647 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,393 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.48xhits against expected | 0.33x to 0.73x | 266 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,644 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| +3%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −14% to +25% | 49 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,352 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| −4%review growth against same-age games | −12% to +5% | 49 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #2,235 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 266
- Hit rate
- 3.4%1.4% to 6.9%
- Expected rate
- 8.3%
- Against expected
- 0.48x0.33x to 0.73x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
266 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $728
- Top tenth
- $16,597
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +29%
- Against Steam
- −6%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- South of Midnight (opens the Steam store)2025 · 4,399 reviews, 94% positiveest. $3.1M
- Eternal Strands (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,671 reviews, 87% positiveest. $1M
- Witchspire (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,881 reviews, 82% positiveest. $876k
- 9 Days (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,209 reviews, 72% positiveest. $671k
- Tower Wizard (opens the Steam store)2025 · 8,811 reviews, 96% positiveest. $533k
- Vellum (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,290 reviews, 89% positiveest. $522k
- Kristala (opens the Steam store)2024 · 489 reviews, 71% positiveest. $396k
- Elemental: Reforged (opens the Steam store)2025 · 482 reviews, 73% positiveest. $293k
More with Fantasy
pairs with Fantasy- Fantasy + Strategy RPG$6,98232 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Tactical RPG$3,23736 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Multiple Endings$3,03445 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Female Protagonist$2,18571 launches priced, 101 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Character Customization$2,14452 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Dungeon Crawler$1,86172 launches priced, 121 releases in 12 months
More with Magic
pairs with Magic- Story Rich + Magic$3,23836 launches priced, 32 releases in 12 months
- Magic + Female Protagonist$3,07630 launches priced, 19 releases in 12 months
- Magic + Action Roguelike$1,70732 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
- Magic + Colorful$1,66832 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Magic$1,37576 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Magic$1,13235 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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