Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Fantasy + Roguelite: a typical launch earns $1,515 in its first year
That is the median of 98 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 11 of 210 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 13.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 99% on the year before: 207 against 104.
- Price
- $1,515 median of 98 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +41.8% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 207 104 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 458 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,003 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.20%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.10% to 0.29% | 25 ranked of 458 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,063 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.87xhits against expected | 0.61x to 1.29x | 210 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,599 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 210
- Hit rate
- 5.2%3.1% to 9.2%
- Expected rate
- 6.2%
- Against expected
- 0.87x0.61x to 1.29x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
210 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $18
- Median
- $1,132
- Top tenth
- $22,558
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +99%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Absolum (opens the Steam store)2025 · 9,457 reviews, 91% positiveest. $4.6M
- The King is Watching (opens the Steam store)2025 · 9,137 reviews, 88% positiveest. $2.4M
- Orcs Must Die! Deathtrap (opens the Steam store)2025 · 4,062 reviews, 69% positiveest. $2.3M
- Super Fantasy Kingdom (opens the Steam store)2025 · 5,648 reviews, 86% positiveest. $2.2M
- He is Coming (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,852 reviews, 84% positiveest. $1.6M
- Metal Slug Tactics (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,157 reviews, 76% positiveest. $585k
- Vellum (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,290 reviews, 89% positiveest. $522k
- None Shall Intrude (opens the Steam store)2025 · 936 reviews, 73% positiveest. $284k
More with Fantasy
pairs with Fantasy- Fantasy + Strategy RPG$6,98232 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Tactical RPG$3,23736 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Multiple Endings$3,03445 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Female Protagonist$2,18571 launches priced, 101 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Character Customization$2,14452 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Dungeon Crawler$1,86172 launches priced, 121 releases in 12 months
More with Roguelite
pairs with Roguelite- Roguelite + Bullet Heaven$12,77652 launches priced, 181 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Roguelike Deckbuilder$9,65574 launches priced, 161 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Roguelite$5,46236 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Co-op + Roguelite$4,52138 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Female Protagonist$4,27345 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Anime$4,27333 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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