Niche

Female Protagonist + Mystery

Games tagged both Female Protagonist and Mystery: 85 indie paid launches, 12 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Female Protagonist + Mystery priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is about level with Female Protagonist and is about level with Mystery.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Female Protagonist + Mystery is about level with Female Protagonist and is about level with Mystery: 18.8 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 17.0 in 100 for Female Protagonist and 20.3 in 100 for Mystery.

That is about 1.1 times the 17.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

TIETied

Tag onemood tagFemale Protagonist

17.0in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds17.0 in 100

Typical earnings$9,459

Launches342 / 58 hits

A tie, apart by1.8 in 100

TIEA tie

This pairFemale Protagonist + Mystery

18.8in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds18.8 in 100

Typical earnings$53,338

Launches32 / 6 hits

Expected17.6 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagMystery

20.3in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds20.3 in 100

Typical earnings$7,666

Launches251 / 51 hits

A tie, apart by1.6 in 100

All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Female Protagonist is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices85 in pair Under $523 in pair $5 to $1021 in pair $10 to $2032 in pair$20 to $409: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 32 games tagged both Female Protagonist and Mystery priced $10 to $20. 18.8 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 16.8 in 100 for Female Protagonist-only games and 20.5 in 100 for Mystery-only games, so the mix is about level with Female Protagonist alone and is about level with Mystery alone.

Both: 32 games priced $10 to $20; 18.8 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $53,338.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 32 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Lost Records: Bloom & Rageleads this pair44.0%

PairLost Records: Bloom & Rage44.0%

Female ProtagonistHollow Knight: Silksong47.9%

MysteryBlue Prince13.8%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Female Protagonist + Mystery

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Lost Records: Bloom & Rage earned 44.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 85 Female Protagonist + Mystery launches.
Female Protagonist is led by Hollow Knight: Silksong, with 47.9% of its money.
Mystery is led by Blue Prince, with 13.8% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Female Protagonist + Mystery holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Female Protagonist + Mystery through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view78 of 85 launches	Without the breakout84 of 85 launches	Last 18 months25 of 85 launches
Launches counted	8512 hits	7811 hits	8411 hits	252 hits
Earned $100k+	14.1 in 100	14.1 in 100	13.1 in 100	2 of 25too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$5,307top tenth $142,534+	$4,051	$5,307	$1,991
Chance against standard	the base	-0.1%no change	-7.2%1.0 fewer in 100	-43.3%6.1 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	-23.7%$1,256 less; too few to tell	0.0%no change	-62.5%$3,316 less; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Female Protagonist and Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 85 launches.

Launches counted: 8512 hits
Earned $100k+: 14.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $5,307top tenth $142,534+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 85 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 7811 hits
Earned $100k+: 14.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $4,051
Chance against standard: -0.1%no change
Typical against standard: -23.7%$1,256 less; too few to tell

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Lost Records: Bloom & Rage (44.0% of the money): 84 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 8411 hits
Earned $100k+: 13.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $5,307
Chance against standard: -7.2%1.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 25 of 85.

Launches counted: 252 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 25too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $1,991
Chance against standard: -43.3%6.1 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: -62.5%$3,316 less; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Female Protagonist and Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 85 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 85 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Lost Records: Bloom & Rage (44.0% of the money): 84 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 25 of 85.

Female Protagonist is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Female Protagonist through every lens, all prices
Female Protagonist	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,265 of 1,407 launches	Without the breakout1,406 of 1,407 launches	Last 18 months401 of 1,407 launches
Launches counted	1,407118 hits	1,26595 hits	1,406117 hits	40141 hits
Earned $100k+	8.4 in 1001 in 12	7.5 in 1001 in 13	8.3 in 1001 in 12	10.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$1,487top tenth $74,922+	$1,427	$1,487	$1,884
Chance against standard	the base	-10.5%0.9 fewer in 100	-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100	+21.9%1.8 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-4.0%$60 less	0.0%no change	+26.7%$397 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Female Protagonist, 12 to 36 months old: 1,407 launches.

Launches counted: 1,407118 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,487top tenth $74,922+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 142 of 1,407 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,26595 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.5 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $1,427
Chance against standard: -10.5%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -4.0%$60 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (47.9% of the money): 1,406 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,406117 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,487
Chance against standard: -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 401 of 1,407.

Launches counted: 40141 hits
Earned $100k+: 10.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,884
Chance against standard: +21.9%1.8 more in 100
Typical against standard: +26.7%$397 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Female Protagonist, 12 to 36 months old: 1,407 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 142 of 1,407 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (47.9% of the money): 1,406 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 401 of 1,407.

Mystery is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Mystery through every lens, all prices
Mystery	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,110 of 1,186 launches	Without the breakout1,185 of 1,186 launches	Last 18 months366 of 1,186 launches
Launches counted	1,18693 hits	1,11078 hits	1,18592 hits	36631 hits
Earned $100k+	7.8 in 1001 in 13	7.0 in 1001 in 14	7.8 in 1001 in 13	8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings	$1,072top tenth $65,794+	$1,030	$1,065	$669
Chance against standard	the base	-10.4%0.8 fewer in 100	-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100	+8.0%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-3.9%$42 less	-0.7%$7 less	-37.6%$403 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 1,186 launches.

Launches counted: 1,18693 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $1,072top tenth $65,794+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 76 of 1,186 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,11078 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $1,030
Chance against standard: -10.4%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -3.9%$42 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (13.8% of the money): 1,185 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,18592 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $1,065
Chance against standard: -1.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.7%$7 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 366 of 1,186.

Launches counted: 36631 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $669
Chance against standard: +8.0%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard: -37.6%$403 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 1,186 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 76 of 1,186 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (13.8% of the money): 1,185 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 366 of 1,186.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Female Protagonist + Mystery moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.