Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

First-Person + Cinematic: a typical launch earns $1,537 in its first year

That is the median of 72 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 11 of 162 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 8.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 18% on the year before: 104 against 88.

Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games

Price: $1,537
Price vs a year earlier: −38.9%
Releases, 12 months: 104
Upcoming games: 287
Games on the store: 665

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

First-Person + Cinematic on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	1.24%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.09% to 3.55%	24 ranked of 287 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#4,213 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games	1.27xhits against expected	0.89x to 1.87x	162 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#1,447 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. One game dominates the figure	+15%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−13% to +46%	30 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#939 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0%review growth against same-age games	−7% to +8%	30 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,969 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 11
Expected: 8.0

Launches: 162
Hit rate: 6.8%3.8% to 13.1%
Expected rate: 4.9%
Against expected: 1.27x0.89x to 1.87x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

162 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $60
Median: $1,756
Top tenth: $64,649

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 104
Prior 12 months: 88

Change: +18%
Against Steam: −13%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

First-PersonNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
CinematicNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with First-Person

pairs with First-Person

Co-op + First-Person$11,81190 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Economy$9,96156 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
Building + First-Person$7,38241 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Management$7,08093 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
Crafting + First-Person$6,99934 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Online Co-Op$5,747102 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months

Every pair with First-Person

More with Cinematic

pairs with Cinematic

Cinematic + Immersive Sim$24,23132 launches priced, 35 releases in 12 months
Psychological Horror + Cinematic$5,00947 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
Cinematic + Mystery$4,60234 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
Cinematic + Interactive Fiction$4,18748 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + Cinematic$4,03368 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
Cinematic + Walking Simulator$3,57532 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Cinematic

Verdicts

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