Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

First-Person + Old School: a typical launch earns $2,125 in its first year

That is the median of 37 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 7 of 65 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 13% on the year before: 39 against 45.

Price: $2,125
Price vs a year earlier: −35.3%
Releases, 12 months: 39
Upcoming games: 113
Games on the store: 330

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

First-Person + Old School on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.10%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.04% to 0.18%	12 ranked of 113 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#5,646 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.34xhits against expected	0.92x to 2.03x	65 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#1,205 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 7
Expected: 4.5

Launches: 65
Hit rate: 10.8%3.4% to 19.5%
Expected rate: 6.9%
Against expected: 1.34x0.92x to 2.03x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

65 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $121
Median: $2,125
Top tenth: $75,691

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 39
Prior 12 months: 45

Change: −13%

Parent tags

First-PersonNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Old SchoolNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with First-Person

pairs with First-Person

Co-op + First-Person$11,81190 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Economy$9,96156 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
Building + First-Person$7,38241 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Management$7,08093 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
Crafting + First-Person$6,99934 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Online Co-Op$5,747102 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months

Every pair with First-Person

More with Old School

pairs with Old School

Old School + 1990's$1,80034 launches priced, 68 releases in 12 months
Shooter + Old School$1,55845 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
Old School + 3D$83942 launches priced, 45 releases in 12 months
RPG + Old School$62748 launches priced, 68 releases in 12 months
Adventure + Old School$60767 launches priced, 82 releases in 12 months
Old School + Retro$38494 launches priced, 139 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Old School

Verdicts

in development

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