Niche

First-Person + Perma Death

Games tagged both First-Person and Perma Death: 40 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing First-Person + Perma Death priced under $5.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

First-Person + Perma Death is too small to compare with First-Person and is too small to compare with Perma Death: 0 of its 26 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.6 in 100 for First-Person and 1 of 225 launches for Perma Death.

Small sample: 26 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagFirst-Person

0.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 155

Typical earnings$309

Launches2,014 / 13 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairFirst-Person + Perma Death

0 of 26launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 26 launches

Typical earnings$404

Launches26 / 0 hits

Expected0.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoPerma Death

1 of 225launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds1 of 225 launches

Typical earnings$168

Launches225 / 1 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.5 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 219), typical $169, from 13,780 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5First-Person is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices40 in pair Under $526 in pair $5 to $1012 in pair$10 to $201: too few$20 to $401: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 26 games tagged both First-Person and Perma Death priced under $5. 0 of 26 of them earned $100k+, against 0.7 in 100 for First-Person-only games and 1 of 199 for Perma Death-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with First-Person alone and is too small to compare with Perma Death alone.

Both: 26 games priced under $5; 0 of 26 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $404.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 26 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

CRUELleads this pair79.0%

PairCRUEL79.0%

First-PersonSchedule I16.5%

Perma DeathVoid War17.3%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads First-Person + Perma Death

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

CRUEL earned 79.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 40 First-Person + Perma Death launches.
First-Person is led by Schedule I, with 16.5% of its money.
Perma Death is led by Void War, with 17.3% of its money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

First-Person + Perma Death is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money.

First-Person + Perma Death through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view39 of 40 launches	Without the breakout39 of 40 launches	Last 18 months14 of 40 launches
Launches counted	401 hits	391 hits	390 hits	140 hits
Earned $100k+	1 of 40too few for a rate	1 of 39too few for a rate	0 of 39too few for a rate	0 of 14too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$783top tenth $8,666+	$783	$765	$191
Chance against standard	the base	+2.6%0.1 more in 100; too few to tell	-100.0%2.5 fewer in 100	-100.0%2.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	-2.3%$18 less	-75.6%$592 less; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both First-Person and Perma Death, 12 to 36 months old: 40 launches.

Launches counted: 401 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 40too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $783top tenth $8,666+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 40 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 391 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 39too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $783
Chance against standard: +2.6%0.1 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, CRUEL (79.0% of the money): 39 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 390 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 39too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $765
Chance against standard: -100.0%2.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -2.3%$18 less

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 14 of 40.

Launches counted: 140 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 14too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $191
Chance against standard: -100.0%2.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: -75.6%$592 less; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both First-Person and Perma Death, 12 to 36 months old: 40 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 40 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, CRUEL (79.0% of the money): 39 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 14 of 40.

First-Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

First-Person through every lens, all prices
First-Person	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view3,579 of 3,710 launches	Without the breakout3,709 of 3,710 launches	Last 18 months1,094 of 3,710 launches
Launches counted	3,710239 hits	3,579231 hits	3,709238 hits	1,09475 hits
Earned $100k+	6.4 in 1001 in 16	6.5 in 1001 in 15	6.4 in 1001 in 16	6.9 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings	$801top tenth $37,317+	$802	$798	$766
Chance against standard	the base	+0.2%no change	-0.4%no change	+6.4%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+0.1%$1 more	-0.4%$3 less	-4.4%$35 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 12 to 36 months old: 3,710 launches.

Launches counted: 3,710239 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.4 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $801top tenth $37,317+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 131 of 3,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 3,579231 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.5 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $802
Chance against standard: +0.2%no change
Typical against standard: +0.1%$1 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (16.5% of the money): 3,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 3,709238 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.4 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $798
Chance against standard: -0.4%no change
Typical against standard: -0.4%$3 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,094 of 3,710.

Launches counted: 1,09475 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.9 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $766
Chance against standard: +6.4%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: -4.4%$35 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 12 to 36 months old: 3,710 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 131 of 3,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (16.5% of the money): 3,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,094 of 3,710.

Perma Death is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Perma Death through every lens, all prices
Perma Death	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view379 of 395 launches	Without the breakout394 of 395 launches	Last 18 months117 of 395 launches
Launches counted	39517 hits	37914 hits	39416 hits	1175 hits
Earned $100k+	4.3 in 1001 in 23	3.7 in 1001 in 27	4.1 in 1001 in 25	4.3 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings	$539top tenth $12,643+	$590	$539	$459
Chance against standard	the base	-14.2%0.6 fewer in 100	-5.6%0.2 fewer in 100	-0.7%no change
Typical against standard	the base	+9.5%$51 more	0.0%no change	-14.8%$80 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Perma Death, 12 to 36 months old: 395 launches.

Launches counted: 39517 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.3 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings: $539top tenth $12,643+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 16 of 395 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 37914 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.7 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings: $590
Chance against standard: -14.2%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +9.5%$51 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Void War (17.3% of the money): 394 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 39416 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.1 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings: $539
Chance against standard: -5.6%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 117 of 395.

Launches counted: 1175 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.3 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings: $459
Chance against standard: -0.7%no change
Typical against standard: -14.8%$80 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Perma Death, 12 to 36 months old: 395 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 16 of 395 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Void War (17.3% of the money): 394 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 117 of 395.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when First-Person + Perma Death moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.