Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / First-Person + PvE
First-Person + PvE
Games tagged both First-Person and PvE: 197 indie paid launches, 13 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing First-Person + PvE priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with First-Person and is about level with PvE; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with First-Person and is too small to compare with PvE.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
First-Person + PvE is too small to compare with First-Person and is too small to compare with PvE: 5 of its 28 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 24.5 in 100 for First-Person and 13.6 in 100 for PvE.
Small sample: 28 launches, 5 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 28 games tagged both First-Person and PvE priced $10 to $20. 5 of 28 of them earned $100k+, against 24.9 in 100 for First-Person-only games and 12.9 in 100 for PvE-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with First-Person alone and is too small to compare with PvE alone.
Both: 28 games priced $10 to $20; 5 of 28 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 24 of 28 launches · $10k+ 14 of 28 launches · $100k+ 5 of 28 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 28 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
First-Person + PvE holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view197 of 197 launches | Without the breakout196 of 197 launches | Last 18 months55 of 197 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 19713 hits | 19713 hits | 19612 hits | 556 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 | 6.1 in 1001 in 16 | 10.9 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $613top tenth $31,297+ | $613 | $613 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | -7.2%0.5 fewer in 100 | +65.3%4.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both First-Person and PvE, 12 to 36 months old: 197 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 197 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Killing Floor 3 (32.6% of the money): 196 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 55 of 197.
First-Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| First-Person | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,708 of 3,840 launches | Without the breakout3,839 of 3,840 launches | Last 18 months1,183 of 3,840 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,840270 hits | 3,708261 hits | 3,839269 hits | 1,18394 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $793top tenth $42,418+ | $799 | $793 | $750 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.1%no change | -0.3%no change | +13.0%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.8%$6 more | 0.0%no change | -5.4%$43 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 12 to 36 months old: 3,840 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 132 of 3,840 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (18.8% of the money): 3,839 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,183 of 3,840.
PvE is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.
| PvE | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,338 of 1,360 launches | Without the breakout1,359 of 1,360 launches | Last 18 months405 of 1,360 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,36072 hits | 1,33868 hits | 1,35971 hits | 40528 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.3 in 1001 in 19 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $402top tenth $29,739+ | $411 | $390 | $363 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -4.0%0.2 fewer in 100 | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | +30.6%1.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.2%$9 more | -3.0%$12 less | -9.7%$39 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged PvE, 12 to 36 months old: 1,360 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 22 of 1,360 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (21.2% of the money): 1,359 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 405 of 1,360.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when First-Person + PvE moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
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