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on 11 Nov 2026

Niches / First-Person + Walking Simulator

Niche

First-Person + Walking Simulator

Games tagged both First-Person and Walking Simulator: 764 indie paid launches, 24 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Showing First-Person + Walking Simulator priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails First-Person and is about level with Walking Simulator; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

First-Person + Walking Simulator trails both its tags: 17.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 24.5 in 100 for First-Person and 21.1 in 100 for Walking Simulator.

That is about 0.8 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

1STWinner
Tag onemood tagFirst-Person
24.5in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds24.5 in 100
Typical earnings$10,866
Launches539 / 132 hits
Pair trails by7.3 in 100
3RDThird
This pairFirst-Person + Walking Simulator
17.1in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds17.1 in 100
$1k+89 in 100
$10k+49 in 100
Launches35 / 6 hits
Expected20.5 in 100
2NDRunner-up
Tag twoWalking Simulator
21.1in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds21.1 in 100
$1k+86 in 100
$10k+54 in 100
Launches95 / 20 hits
Pair trails by3.9 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20First-Person is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices764 in pairUnder $5575 in pair$5 to $10145 in pair$10 to $2035 in pair$20 to $409: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 35 games tagged both First-Person and Walking Simulator priced $10 to $20. 17.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 25.0 in 100 for First-Person-only games and 23.3 in 100 for Walking Simulator-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.

Both: 35 games priced $10 to $20; 17.1 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 89 in 100 · $10k+ 49 in 100 · $100k+ 17 in 100.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 35 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

The Talos Principle 2leads this pair36.1%
PairThe Talos Principle 236.1%
First-PersonSchedule I18.8%
Walking SimulatorThe Talos Principle 218.3%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads First-Person + Walking Simulator

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • The Talos Principle 2 earned 36.1% of the estimated first-year money of the 764 First-Person + Walking Simulator launches.
  • First-Person is led by Schedule I, with 18.8% of its money.
  • It also leads Walking Simulator, with 18.3% of that tag's money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

First-Person + Walking Simulator holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

First-Person + Walking Simulator through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view735 of 764 launchesWithout the breakout763 of 764 launchesLast 18 months246 of 764 launches
Launches counted76424 hits73524 hits76323 hits2466 hits
Earned $100k+3.1 in 1001 in 323.3 in 1001 in 313.0 in 1001 in 332.4 in 1001 in 41
Typical first-year earnings$979top tenth $16,645+$1,000$975$818
Chance against standardthe base+3.9%0.1 more in 100-4.0%0.1 fewer in 100-22.4%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base+2.1%$21 more-0.4%$4 less-16.4%$161 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both First-Person and Walking Simulator, 12 to 36 months old: 764 launches.

Launches counted
76424 hits
Earned $100k+
3.1 in 1001 in 32
Typical first-year earnings
$979top tenth $16,645+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 29 of 764 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
73524 hits
Earned $100k+
3.3 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings
$1,000
Chance against standard
+3.9%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+2.1%$21 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Talos Principle 2 (36.1% of the money): 763 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
76323 hits
Earned $100k+
3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings
$975
Chance against standard
-4.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.4%$4 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 246 of 764.

Launches counted
2466 hits
Earned $100k+
2.4 in 1001 in 41
Typical first-year earnings
$818
Chance against standard
-22.4%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-16.4%$161 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both First-Person and Walking Simulator, 12 to 36 months old: 764 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 29 of 764 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, The Talos Principle 2 (36.1% of the money): 763 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 246 of 764.

First-Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

First-Person through every lens, all prices
First-PersonBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view3,708 of 3,840 launchesWithout the breakout3,839 of 3,840 launchesLast 18 months1,183 of 3,840 launches
Launches counted3,840270 hits3,708261 hits3,839269 hits1,18394 hits
Earned $100k+7.0 in 1001 in 147.0 in 1001 in 147.0 in 1001 in 147.9 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings$793top tenth $42,418+$799$793$750
Chance against standardthe base+0.1%no change-0.3%no change+13.0%0.9 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+0.8%$6 more0.0%no change-5.4%$43 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 12 to 36 months old: 3,840 launches.

Launches counted
3,840270 hits
Earned $100k+
7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$793top tenth $42,418+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 132 of 3,840 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
3,708261 hits
Earned $100k+
7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$799
Chance against standard
+0.1%no change
Typical against standard
+0.8%$6 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (18.8% of the money): 3,839 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
3,839269 hits
Earned $100k+
7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$793
Chance against standard
-0.3%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,183 of 3,840.

Launches counted
1,18394 hits
Earned $100k+
7.9 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$750
Chance against standard
+13.0%0.9 more in 100
Typical against standard
-5.4%$43 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 12 to 36 months old: 3,840 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 132 of 3,840 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (18.8% of the money): 3,839 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,183 of 3,840.

Walking Simulator holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Walking Simulator through every lens, all prices
Walking SimulatorBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,369 of 1,429 launchesWithout the breakout1,428 of 1,429 launchesLast 18 months449 of 1,429 launches
Launches counted1,42950 hits1,36950 hits1,42849 hits44915 hits
Earned $100k+3.5 in 1001 in 293.7 in 1001 in 273.4 in 1001 in 293.3 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings$906top tenth $16,441+$925$906$799
Chance against standardthe base+4.4%0.2 more in 100-1.9%0.1 fewer in 100-4.5%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base+2.1%$19 more0.0%no change-11.8%$107 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Walking Simulator, 12 to 36 months old: 1,429 launches.

Launches counted
1,42950 hits
Earned $100k+
3.5 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings
$906top tenth $16,441+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 60 of 1,429 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,36950 hits
Earned $100k+
3.7 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings
$925
Chance against standard
+4.4%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
+2.1%$19 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Talos Principle 2 (18.3% of the money): 1,428 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,42849 hits
Earned $100k+
3.4 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings
$906
Chance against standard
-1.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 449 of 1,429.

Launches counted
44915 hits
Earned $100k+
3.3 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings
$799
Chance against standard
-4.5%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-11.8%$107 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Walking Simulator, 12 to 36 months old: 1,429 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 60 of 1,429 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, The Talos Principle 2 (18.3% of the money): 1,428 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 449 of 1,429.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when First-Person + Walking Simulator moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

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