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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 30 Sep 2026

Niches / FMV + First-Person

Niche

FMV + First-Person

Games tagged both FMV and First-Person: 46 indie paid launches, 13 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing FMV + First-Person priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

FMV + First-Person beats both its tags: 8 of its 16 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 47.1 in 100 for FMV and 23.2 in 100 for First-Person.

Small sample: 16 launches, 8 hits.

2NDRunner-up
Tag oneFMV
47.1in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds47.1 in 100
Typical earnings$81,191
Launches51 / 24 hits
Pair leads by2.9 in 100
1STWinner
This pairFMV + First-Person
8 of 16launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds8 of 16 launches
Typical earnings$136,417
Launches16 / 8 hits
Expected18.6 in 100
3RDThird
Tag twomood tagFirst-Person
23.2in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds23.2 in 100
Typical earnings$10,321
Launches599 / 139 hits
Pair leads by26.8 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 2.5 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20First-Person is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices46 in pairUnder $56: too few$5 to $1022 in pair$10 to $2016 in pair$20 to $402: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 16 games tagged both FMV and First-Person priced $10 to $20. 50.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 45.7 for FMV-only games and 22.5 for First-Person-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.

Both: 16 games priced $10 to $20; 50.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $136,417.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 16 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Starship Troopers: Ultimate Bug War!leads this pair15.3%
PairStarship Troopers: Ultimate Bug War!15.3%
FMVRevenge on gold diggers21.3%
First-PersonSchedule I16.7%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkAudience-sensitive. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads FMV + First-Person

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Starship Troopers: Ultimate Bug War! earned 15.3% of the estimated first-year money of the 46 FMV + First-Person launches.
  • FMV is led by Revenge on gold diggers, with 21.3% of its money.
  • First-Person is led by Schedule I, with 16.7% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

FMV + First-Person is audience-sensitive: West-facing view moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.

FMV + First-Person through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view33 of 46 launchesWithout the breakout45 of 46 launchesLast 18 months30 of 46 launches
Launches counted4613 hits337 hits4512 hits3010 hits
Earned $100k+28.3 in 10021.2 in 10026.7 in 10033.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$41,202top tenth $302,965+$16,597$33,405$43,597
Chance against standardthe yardstick-25.1%7.1 fewer in 100-5.7%1.6 fewer in 100+17.7%5.0 more in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick-59.7%$24,605 less-18.9%$7,797 less+5.8%$2,395 more
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both FMV and First-Person, 6 to 30 months old: 46 launches.

Launches counted
4613 hits
Earned $100k+
28.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$41,202top tenth $302,965+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 46 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
337 hits
Earned $100k+
21.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$16,597
Chance against standard
-25.1%7.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-59.7%$24,605 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Starship Troopers: Ultimate Bug War! (15.3% of the money): 45 launches left.

Launches counted
4512 hits
Earned $100k+
26.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$33,405
Chance against standard
-5.7%1.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-18.9%$7,797 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 30 of 46.

Launches counted
3010 hits
Earned $100k+
33.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$43,597
Chance against standard
+17.7%5.0 more in 100
Typical against standard
+5.8%$2,395 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both FMV and First-Person, 6 to 30 months old: 46 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 46 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Starship Troopers: Ultimate Bug War! (15.3% of the money): 45 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 30 of 46.

FMV is audience-sensitive +1: West-facing view moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.

FMV through every lens, all prices
FMVBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view121 of 172 launchesWithout the breakout171 of 172 launchesLast 18 months114 of 172 launches
Launches counted17238 hits12121 hits17137 hits11428 hits
Earned $100k+22.1 in 10017.4 in 10021.6 in 10024.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$10,510top tenth $228,875+$4,855$10,043$15,865
Chance against standardthe yardstick-21.3%4.7 fewer in 100-2.3%0.5 fewer in 100+11.3%2.5 more in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick-53.8%$5,655 less-4.4%$467 less+51.0%$5,355 more
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged FMV, 6 to 30 months old: 172 launches.

Launches counted
17238 hits
Earned $100k+
22.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$10,510top tenth $228,875+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 51 of 172 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
12121 hits
Earned $100k+
17.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$4,855
Chance against standard
-21.3%4.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-53.8%$5,655 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Revenge on gold diggers (21.3% of the money): 171 launches left.

Launches counted
17137 hits
Earned $100k+
21.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$10,043
Chance against standard
-2.3%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-4.4%$467 less
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 114 of 172.

Launches counted
11428 hits
Earned $100k+
24.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$15,865
Chance against standard
+11.3%2.5 more in 100
Typical against standard
+51.0%$5,355 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged FMV, 6 to 30 months old: 172 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 51 of 172 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Revenge on gold diggers (21.3% of the money): 171 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 114 of 172.

First-Person holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

First-Person through every lens, all prices
First-PersonBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view4,135 of 4,266 launchesWithout the breakout4,265 of 4,266 launchesLast 18 months2,372 of 4,266 launches
Launches counted4,266296 hits4,135284 hits4,265295 hits2,372163 hits
Earned $100k+6.9 in 1001 in 146.9 in 1001 in 146.9 in 1001 in 146.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$849top tenth $40,885+$849$849$728
Chance against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change0.0%no change
Typical against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change-14.3%$121 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 6 to 30 months old: 4,266 launches.

Launches counted
4,266296 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$849top tenth $40,885+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 131 of 4,266 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
4,135284 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$849
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (16.7% of the money): 4,265 launches left.

Launches counted
4,265295 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$849
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,372 of 4,266.

Launches counted
2,372163 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$728
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
-14.3%$121 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged First-Person, 6 to 30 months old: 4,266 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 131 of 4,266 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (16.7% of the money): 4,265 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,372 of 4,266.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when FMV + First-Person moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.