Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / FMV + Multiple Endings
FMV + Multiple Endings
Games tagged both FMV and Multiple Endings: 45 indie paid launches, 18 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing FMV + Multiple Endings priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
FMV + Multiple Endings beats both its tags: 12 of its 20 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 47.1 in 100 for FMV and 21.9 in 100 for Multiple Endings.
Small sample: 20 launches, 12 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 20 games tagged both FMV and Multiple Endings priced $10 to $20. 60.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 38.7 for FMV-only games and 18.3 for Multiple Endings-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 20 games priced $10 to $20; 60.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $154,935.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 20 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
FMV + Multiple Endings holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view23 of 45 launches | Without the breakout44 of 45 launches | Last 18 months29 of 45 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4518 hits | 237 hits | 4417 hits | 2913 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 40.0 in 100 | 30.4 in 100 | 38.6 in 100 | 44.8 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $66,831top tenth $302,965+ | $54,451 | $66,831 | $68,411 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -24.0%9.6 fewer in 100 | -3.5%1.4 fewer in 100 | +12.0%4.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -18.5%$12,380 less | 0.0%no change | +2.4%$1,580 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both FMV and Multiple Endings, 6 to 30 months old: 45 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 22 of 45 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Revenge on gold diggers (40.5% of the money): 44 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 29 of 45.
FMV is audience-sensitive +1: West-facing view moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| FMV | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view121 of 172 launches | Without the breakout171 of 172 launches | Last 18 months114 of 172 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 17238 hits | 12121 hits | 17137 hits | 11428 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 22.1 in 100 | 17.4 in 100 | 21.6 in 100 | 24.6 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $10,510top tenth $228,875+ | $4,855 | $10,043 | $15,865 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -21.3%4.7 fewer in 100 | -2.3%0.5 fewer in 100 | +11.3%2.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -53.8%$5,655 less | -4.4%$467 less | +51.0%$5,355 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged FMV, 6 to 30 months old: 172 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 51 of 172 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Revenge on gold diggers (21.3% of the money): 171 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 114 of 172.
Multiple Endings holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Multiple Endings | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,161 of 1,318 launches | Without the breakout1,317 of 1,318 launches | Last 18 months750 of 1,318 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,31896 hits | 1,16168 hits | 1,31795 hits | 75045 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,048top tenth $60,473+ | $1,007 | $1,029 | $808 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -19.2%1.4 fewer in 100 | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -17.8%1.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -3.9%$41 less | -1.8%$19 less | -22.9%$240 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Multiple Endings, 6 to 30 months old: 1,318 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 157 of 1,318 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (12.0% of the money): 1,317 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 750 of 1,318.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when FMV + Multiple Endings moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.