Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
FPS + Military: a typical launch earns $535 in its first year
That is the median of 36 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 11 of 62 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.3 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 9% on the year before: 51 against 47.
- Price
- $535 median of 36 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −11.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 51 47 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 192 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 538 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 1.21%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.34% to 2.24% | 31 ranked of 192 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,223 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.69xhits against expected | 1.20x to 2.38x | 62 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #400 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| +35%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +2% to +81% | 36 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #376 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| +8%review growth against same-age games | −12% to +29% | 36 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,627 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 62
- Hit rate
- 17.7%9.5% to 24.2%
- Expected rate
- 8.5%
- Against expected
- 1.69x1.20x to 2.38x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
62 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $636
- Top tenth
- $334,444
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +9%
- Against Steam
- −20%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- WARDOGS (opens the Steam store)2026 · 84,875 reviews, 76% positiveest. $67M
- Gray Zone Warfare (opens the Steam store)2024 · 69,275 reviews, 72% positiveest. $55M
- Bodycam (opens the Steam store)2024 · 63,261 reviews, 80% positiveest. $42M
- GROUND BRANCH (opens the Steam store)2026 · 22,430 reviews, 83% positiveest. $13M
- Hell Let Loose: Vietnam (opens the Steam store)2026 · 11,087 reviews, 61% positiveest. $8.9M
- Gallipoli (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,191 reviews, 77% positiveest. $2.5M
- I Am Your Beast (opens the Steam store)2024 · 5,297 reviews, 97% positiveest. $2.1M
- Contractors Showdown : ExfilZone (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,373 reviews, 68% positiveest. $1.3M
More with FPS
pairs with FPS- FPS + Online Co-Op$13,34030 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Roguelite$5,46236 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Immersive Sim$3,84453 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Story Rich$3,09340 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Co-op$2,58933 launches priced, 36 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Boomer Shooter$2,15474 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months
More with Military
pairs with Military- Simulation + Military$2,91247 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
- War + Military$2,15564 launches priced, 90 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Military$1,45661 launches priced, 118 releases in 12 months
- Military + Wargame$1,21466 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
- First-Person + Military$97133 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Action + Military$80987 launches priced, 123 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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