Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
FPS + Physics: 29 releases in the last 12 months
There is no price yet: it needs 30 or more indie paid launches in the last four complete quarters. 5 of 47 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 2.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 4% on the year before: 29 against 28.
- Price
- n/a under 30 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- n/a no price
- Releases, 12 months
- 29 28 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 132 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 289 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.08%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.06% to 0.10% | 19 ranked of 132 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,013 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.38xhits against expected | 0.94x to 2.16x | 47 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,048 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +56%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +12% to +119% | 15 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #134 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +19%review growth against same-age games | +8% to +30% | 15 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #43 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 47
- Hit rate
- 10.6%5.5% to 18.2%
- Expected rate
- 6.0%
- Against expected
- 1.38x0.94x to 2.16x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
47 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $36
- Median
- $505
- Top tenth
- $76,025
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +4%
- Against Steam
- −24%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- How to Fish (opens the Steam store)2026 · 63,751 reviews, 95% positiveest. $9.5M
- VOID/BREAKER (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,516 reviews, 91% positiveest. $1.5M
- Contractors Showdown : ExfilZone (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,373 reviews, 68% positiveest. $1.3M
- Pih (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,790 reviews, 94% positiveest. $326k
- KEEP GAMBLING (opens the Steam store)2025 · 976 reviews, 74% positiveest. $154k
- Of Lies and Rain (opens the Steam store)2025 · 174 reviews, 78% positiveest. $141k
- NightClub Simulator (opens the Steam store)2024 · 870 reviews, 91% positiveest. $123k
- Odd Remedy (opens the Steam store)2024 · 162 reviews, 87% positiveest. $33k
More with FPS
pairs with FPS- FPS + Online Co-Op$13,34030 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Roguelite$5,46236 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Immersive Sim$3,84453 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Story Rich$3,09340 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Co-op$2,58933 launches priced, 36 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Boomer Shooter$2,15474 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months
More with Physics
pairs with Physics- Building + Physics$2,16430 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Physics$2,06074 launches priced, 123 releases in 12 months
- Multiplayer + Physics$1,72852 launches priced, 181 releases in 12 months
- Comedy + Physics$1,61742 launches priced, 99 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Physics$1,24262 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Physics$1,11244 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.