Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
FPS + PvP: a typical launch earns $674 in its first year
That is the median of 43 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 17 of 96 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 6.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 28% on the year before: 97 against 76.
- Price
- $674 median of 43 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +58.7% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 97 76 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 415 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 974 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 1.84%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.87% to 3.46% | 40 ranked of 415 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,053 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 2.05xhits against expected | 1.51x to 2.76x | 96 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #135 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −1%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −27% to +25% | 54 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,485 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −8%review growth against same-age games | −18% to +1% | 54 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,191 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 96
- Hit rate
- 17.7%11.0% to 24.7%
- Expected rate
- 7.0%
- Against expected
- 2.05x1.51x to 2.76x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
96 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $586
- Top tenth
- $387,307
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +28%
- Against Steam
- −7%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- WARDOGS (opens the Steam store)2026 · 84,875 reviews, 76% positiveest. $67M
- SAND: Raiders of Sophie (opens the Steam store)2026 · 12,588 reviews, 49% positiveest. $6.2M
- Liar's Bar (opens the Steam store)2024 · 48,761 reviews, 89% positiveest. $6.2M
- Active Matter (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,104 reviews, 77% positiveest. $1.3M
- ANEURISM IV (opens the Steam store)2025 · 5,713 reviews, 75% positiveest. $1.2M
- Forefront (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,939 reviews, 84% positiveest. $1.1M
- Mage Arena (opens the Steam store)2025 · 17,821 reviews, 91% positiveest. $1.1M
- Wildgate (opens the Steam store)2025 · 5,038 reviews, 77% positiveest. $1M
More with FPS
pairs with FPS- FPS + Online Co-Op$13,34030 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Roguelite$5,46236 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Immersive Sim$3,84453 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Story Rich$3,09340 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Co-op$2,58933 launches priced, 36 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Boomer Shooter$2,15474 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months
More with PvP
pairs with PvP- RPG + PvP$1,53738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Funny$1,11269 launches priced, 197 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Party Game$1,11243 launches priced, 282 releases in 12 months
- Sports + PvP$92876 launches priced, 150 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Cute$90972 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + PvP$81051 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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