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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 11 Nov 2026

Niches / FPS + Sandbox

Niche

FPS + Sandbox

Games tagged both FPS and Sandbox: 55 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Showing FPS + Sandbox priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with FPS and trails Sandbox; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with FPS and is too small to compare with Sandbox.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

FPS + Sandbox is too small to compare with FPS and is too small to compare with Sandbox: 3 of its 13 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 24.9 in 100 for FPS and 33.7 in 100 for Sandbox.

Small sample: 13 launches, 3 hits.

TIETied
Tag oneFPS
24.9in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds24.9 in 100
Typical earnings$10,038
Launches221 / 55 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairFPS + Sandbox
3 of 13launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds3 of 13 launches
$1k+13 of 13 launches
$10k+5 of 13 launches
Launches13 / 3 hits
Expected20.5 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twoSandbox
33.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds33.7 in 100
Typical earnings$32,569
Launches362 / 122 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices55 in pairUnder $527 in pair$5 to $1012 in pair$10 to $2013 in pair$20 to $403: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 13 games tagged both FPS and Sandbox priced $10 to $20. 3 of 13 of them earned $100k+, against 25.0 in 100 for FPS-only games and 34.1 in 100 for Sandbox-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with FPS alone and is too small to compare with Sandbox alone.

Both: 13 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 13 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 13 of 13 launches · $10k+ 5 of 13 launches · $100k+ 3 of 13 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 13 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Project Silverfishleads this pair47.2%
PairProject Silverfish47.2%
FPSGray Zone Warfare20.5%
SandboxManor Lords22.4%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads FPS + Sandbox

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Project Silverfish earned 47.2% of the estimated first-year money of the 55 FPS + Sandbox launches.
  • FPS is led by Gray Zone Warfare, with 20.5% of its money.
  • Sandbox is led by Manor Lords, with 22.4% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

FPS + Sandbox holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

FPS + Sandbox through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view55 of 55 launchesWithout the breakout54 of 55 launchesLast 18 months21 of 55 launches
Launches counted555 hits555 hits544 hits212 hits
Earned $100k+9.1 in 1001 in 119.1 in 1001 in 114 of 54too few for a rate2 of 21too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+15 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 40 in 100under 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base0.0%no change-18.5%1.7 fewer in 100+4.8%0.4 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe baseunder 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both FPS and Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 55 launches.

Launches counted
555 hits
Earned $100k+
9.1 in 1001 in 11
Chance of $10k+
15 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 40 in 100
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 55 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
555 hits
Earned $100k+
9.1 in 1001 in 11
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Project Silverfish (47.2% of the money): 54 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
544 hits
Earned $100k+
4 of 54too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-18.5%1.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 21 of 55.

Launches counted
212 hits
Earned $100k+
2 of 21too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+4.8%0.4 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both FPS and Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 55 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 55 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Project Silverfish (47.2% of the money): 54 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 21 of 55.

FPS holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

FPS through every lens, all prices
FPSBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,270 of 1,302 launchesWithout the breakout1,301 of 1,302 launchesLast 18 months369 of 1,302 launches
Launches counted1,302113 hits1,270112 hits1,301112 hits36938 hits
Earned $100k+8.7 in 1001 in 128.8 in 1001 in 118.6 in 1001 in 1210.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$559top tenth $60,733+$575$556$643
Chance against standardthe base+1.6%0.1 more in 100-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100+18.7%1.6 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+2.9%$16 more-0.5%$3 less+15.0%$84 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged FPS, 12 to 36 months old: 1,302 launches.

Launches counted
1,302113 hits
Earned $100k+
8.7 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$559top tenth $60,733+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 1,302 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,270112 hits
Earned $100k+
8.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$575
Chance against standard
+1.6%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+2.9%$16 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (20.5% of the money): 1,301 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,301112 hits
Earned $100k+
8.6 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$556
Chance against standard
-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.5%$3 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 369 of 1,302.

Launches counted
36938 hits
Earned $100k+
10.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$643
Chance against standard
+18.7%1.6 more in 100
Typical against standard
+15.0%$84 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged FPS, 12 to 36 months old: 1,302 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 1,302 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (20.5% of the money): 1,301 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 369 of 1,302.

Sandbox is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Sandbox through every lens, all prices
SandboxBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,187 of 1,229 launchesWithout the breakout1,228 of 1,229 launchesLast 18 months380 of 1,229 launches
Launches counted1,229210 hits1,187198 hits1,228209 hits38062 hits
Earned $100k+17.1 in 10016.7 in 10017.0 in 10016.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$2,212top tenth $299,853+$2,212$2,212$1,950
Chance against standardthe base-2.4%0.4 fewer in 100-0.4%0.1 fewer in 100-4.5%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base0.0%no change0.0%no change-11.8%$262 less
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 1,229 launches.

Launches counted
1,229210 hits
Earned $100k+
17.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,212top tenth $299,853+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 1,229 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,187198 hits
Earned $100k+
16.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,212
Chance against standard
-2.4%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (22.4% of the money): 1,228 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,228209 hits
Earned $100k+
17.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,212
Chance against standard
-0.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 380 of 1,229.

Launches counted
38062 hits
Earned $100k+
16.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,950
Chance against standard
-4.5%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-11.8%$262 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 1,229 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 1,229 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (22.4% of the money): 1,228 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 380 of 1,229.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when FPS + Sandbox moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.