Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
FPS + Sci-fi
Games tagged both FPS and Sci-fi: 112 indie paid launches, 23 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing FPS + Sci-fi priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with FPS and is too small to compare with Sci-fi.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
FPS + Sci-fi is too small to compare with FPS and is too small to compare with Sci-fi: 6 of its 21 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 24.9 in 100 for FPS and 19.6 in 100 for Sci-fi.
Small sample: 21 launches, 6 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 21 games tagged both FPS and Sci-fi priced $10 to $20. 6 of 21 of them earned $100k+, against 24.5 in 100 for FPS-only games and 18.7 in 100 for Sci-fi-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with FPS alone and is too small to compare with Sci-fi alone.
Both: 21 games priced $10 to $20; 6 of 21 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 15 of 21 launches · $10k+ 10 of 21 launches · $100k+ 6 of 21 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 21 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
FPS + Sci-fi holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view110 of 112 launches | Without the breakout111 of 112 launches | Last 18 months26 of 112 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 11223 hits | 11022 hits | 11122 hits | 267 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 20.5 in 100 | 20.0 in 100 | 19.8 in 100 | 7 of 26too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,020top tenth $730,710+ | $1,020 | $869 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.6%0.5 fewer in 100 | -3.5%0.7 fewer in 100 | +31.1%6.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | -14.8%$151 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both FPS and Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 112 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 112 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, RoboCop: Rogue City (25.0% of the money): 111 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 26 of 112.
FPS holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| FPS | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,270 of 1,302 launches | Without the breakout1,301 of 1,302 launches | Last 18 months369 of 1,302 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,302113 hits | 1,270112 hits | 1,301112 hits | 36938 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.7 in 1001 in 12 | 8.8 in 1001 in 11 | 8.6 in 1001 in 12 | 10.3 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $559top tenth $60,733+ | $575 | $556 | $643 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.6%0.1 more in 100 | -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | +18.7%1.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.9%$16 more | -0.5%$3 less | +15.0%$84 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged FPS, 12 to 36 months old: 1,302 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 1,302 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (20.5% of the money): 1,301 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 369 of 1,302.
Sci-fi holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Sci-fi | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,208 of 1,242 launches | Without the breakout1,241 of 1,242 launches | Last 18 months323 of 1,242 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,242111 hits | 1,208107 hits | 1,241110 hits | 32326 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.9 in 1001 in 11 | 8.9 in 1001 in 11 | 8.9 in 1001 in 11 | 8.0 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $545top tenth $74,428+ | $545 | $545 | $579 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | -9.9%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +6.2%$34 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 1,242 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 1,242 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Abiotic Factor (12.7% of the money): 1,241 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 323 of 1,242.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when FPS + Sci-fi moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.