Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Grid-Based Movement + Sokoban
Grid-Based Movement + Sokoban
Games tagged both Grid-Based Movement and Sokoban: 53 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Grid-Based Movement + Sokoban priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Grid-Based Movement and beats Sokoban; priced under $5 it is level with Grid-Based Movement and is level with Sokoban.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Grid-Based Movement + Sokoban is level with Grid-Based Movement and is level with Sokoban: 0.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.0 in 100 for Grid-Based Movement and 0.0 in 100 for Sokoban.
That is about 0.0 times the 0.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 30 games tagged both Grid-Based Movement and Sokoban priced under $5. 0.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 0.0 for Grid-Based Movement-only games and 0.0 for Sokoban-only games, so the mix is level with Grid-Based Movement alone and is level with Sokoban alone.
Both: 30 games priced under $5; 0.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $566.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 30 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Grid-Based Movement + Sokoban is one-hit market +1: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view52 of 53 launches | Without the breakout52 of 53 launches | Last 18 months30 of 53 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 531 hits | 521 hits | 520 hits | 300 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.9 in 1001 in 53 | 1.9 in 1001 in 53 | 0.0 in 100 | 0.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $606top tenth $4,653+ | $606 | $606 | $546 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -100.0%1.9 fewer in 100 | -100.0%1.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -9.9%$60 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Grid-Based Movement and Sokoban, 6 to 30 months old: 53 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 53 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Maxwell's puzzling demon (40.0% of the money): 52 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 30 of 53.
Grid-Based Movement is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Grid-Based Movement | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view253 of 254 launches | Without the breakout253 of 254 launches | Last 18 months145 of 254 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2548 hits | 2538 hits | 2537 hits | 1453 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.1 in 1001 in 32 | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 | 2.1 in 1001 in 48 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $405top tenth $24,693+ | $405 | $404 | $405 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +3.2%0.1 more in 100 | -9.7%0.3 fewer in 100 | -32.3%1.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -0.2%$1 less | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Grid-Based Movement, 6 to 30 months old: 254 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 254 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked (20.8% of the money): 253 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 145 of 254.
Sokoban is one-hit market +1: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| Sokoban | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view234 of 244 launches | Without the breakout243 of 244 launches | Last 18 months127 of 244 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2443 hits | 2343 hits | 2432 hits | 1271 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.2 in 1001 in 83 | 1.3 in 1001 in 77 | 0.8 in 1001 in 125 | 0.8 in 1001 in 125 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $6,070+ | $485 | $404 | $400 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +8.3%0.1 more in 100 | -33.3%0.4 fewer in 100 | -33.3%0.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +20.0%$81 more | 0.0%no change | -1.0%$4 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sokoban, 6 to 30 months old: 244 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 10 of 244 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Isles of Sea and Sky (38.7% of the money): 243 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 127 of 244.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Grid-Based Movement + Sokoban moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.