Niche

Hand-drawn + Incremental

Games tagged both Hand-drawn and Incremental: 74 indie paid launches, 0 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing Hand-drawn + Incremental priced under $5.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Hand-drawn + Incremental is too small to compare with Hand-drawn and is too small to compare with Incremental: 0 of its 58 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 1 of 645 launches for Hand-drawn and 1.1 in 100 for Incremental.

Small sample: 58 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagHand-drawn

1 of 645launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds1 of 645 launches

Typical earnings$395

Launches645 / 1 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairHand-drawn + Incremental

0 of 58launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 58 launches

$1k+17 in 100

$10k+0 of 58 launches

Launches58 / 0 hits

Expected0.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoIncremental

1.1in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 88

Typical earnings$182

Launches877 / 10 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 230), typical $162, from 14,050 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Hand-drawn is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices74 in pair Under $558 in pair $5 to $1013 in pair$10 to $203: too few$20 to $40no launches

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 58 games tagged both Hand-drawn and Incremental priced under $5. 0 of 58 of them earned $100k+, against 1 of 587 for Hand-drawn-only games and 1.2 in 100 for Incremental-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Hand-drawn alone and is too small to compare with Incremental alone.

Both: 58 games priced under $5; 0 of 58 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 17 in 100 · $10k+ 0 of 58 launches · $100k+ 0 of 58 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 58 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

LOREDleads this pair20.6%

PairLORED20.6%

Hand-drawnNine Sols36.3%

Incremental(the) Gnorp Apologue7.2%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Hand-drawn + Incremental

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

LORED earned 20.6% of the estimated first-year money of the 74 Hand-drawn + Incremental launches.
Hand-drawn is led by Nine Sols, with 36.3% of its money.
Incremental is led by (the) Gnorp Apologue, with 7.2% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Hand-drawn + Incremental holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Hand-drawn + Incremental through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view65 of 74 launches	Without the breakout73 of 74 launches	Last 18 months16 of 74 launches
Launches counted	740 hits	650 hits	730 hits	160 hits
Earned $100k+	0 of 74too few for a rate	0 of 65too few for a rate	0 of 73too few for a rate	0 of 16too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	4 of 74 launchescleared $10k; $1k+ 30 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	0.0%no change	0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Hand-drawn and Incremental, 12 to 36 months old: 74 launches.

Launches counted: 740 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 74too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: 4 of 74 launchescleared $10k; $1k+ 30 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 9 of 74 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 650 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 65too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, LORED (20.6% of the money): 73 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 730 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 73too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 16 of 74.

Launches counted: 160 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 16too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Hand-drawn and Incremental, 12 to 36 months old: 74 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 9 of 74 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, LORED (20.6% of the money): 73 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 16 of 74.

Hand-drawn holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Hand-drawn through every lens, all prices
Hand-drawn	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,035 of 1,092 launches	Without the breakout1,091 of 1,092 launches	Last 18 months256 of 1,092 launches
Launches counted	1,09252 hits	1,03551 hits	1,09151 hits	25615 hits
Earned $100k+	4.8 in 1001 in 21	4.9 in 1001 in 20	4.7 in 1001 in 21	5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings	$869top tenth $31,226+	$883	$865	$1,048
Chance against standard	the base	+3.5%0.2 more in 100	-1.8%0.1 fewer in 100	+23.0%1.1 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+1.6%$14 more	-0.5%$4 less	+20.6%$179 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Hand-drawn, 12 to 36 months old: 1,092 launches.

Launches counted: 1,09252 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.8 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings: $869top tenth $31,226+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 57 of 1,092 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,03551 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.9 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $883
Chance against standard: +3.5%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: +1.6%$14 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Nine Sols (36.3% of the money): 1,091 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,09151 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.7 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings: $865
Chance against standard: -1.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.5%$4 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 256 of 1,092.

Launches counted: 25615 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $1,048
Chance against standard: +23.0%1.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +20.6%$179 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Hand-drawn, 12 to 36 months old: 1,092 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 57 of 1,092 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Nine Sols (36.3% of the money): 1,091 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 256 of 1,092.

Incremental is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Incremental through every lens, all prices
Incremental	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,007 of 1,103 launches	Without the breakout1,102 of 1,103 launches	Last 18 months395 of 1,103 launches
Launches counted	1,10325 hits	1,00723 hits	1,10224 hits	39513 hits
Earned $100k+	2.3 in 1001 in 44	2.3 in 1001 in 44	2.2 in 1001 in 46	3.3 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings	$273top tenth $12,992+	$288	$273	$257
Chance against standard	the base	+0.8%no change	-3.9%0.1 fewer in 100	+45.2%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+5.5%$15 more	0.0%no change	-5.9%$16 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Incremental, 12 to 36 months old: 1,103 launches.

Launches counted: 1,10325 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.3 in 1001 in 44
Typical first-year earnings: $273top tenth $12,992+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 96 of 1,103 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,00723 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.3 in 1001 in 44
Typical first-year earnings: $288
Chance against standard: +0.8%no change
Typical against standard: +5.5%$15 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, (the) Gnorp Apologue (7.2% of the money): 1,102 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,10224 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.2 in 1001 in 46
Typical first-year earnings: $273
Chance against standard: -3.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 395 of 1,103.

Launches counted: 39513 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.3 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings: $257
Chance against standard: +45.2%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standard: -5.9%$16 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Incremental, 12 to 36 months old: 1,103 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 96 of 1,103 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, (the) Gnorp Apologue (7.2% of the money): 1,102 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 395 of 1,103.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Hand-drawn + Incremental moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.