Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Hidden Object + Surreal
Hidden Object + Surreal
Games tagged both Hidden Object and Surreal: 60 indie paid launches, 2 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Hidden Object + Surreal priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Hidden Object and trails Surreal; priced under $5 it is level with Hidden Object and trails Surreal.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Hidden Object + Surreal is level with Hidden Object and trails Surreal: 0.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.2 in 100 for Hidden Object and 1.7 in 100 for Surreal.
That is about 0.0 times the 0.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 42 games tagged both Hidden Object and Surreal priced under $5. 0.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 0.2 for Hidden Object-only games and 1.9 for Surreal-only games, so the mix is level with Hidden Object alone and trails Surreal alone.
Both: 42 games priced under $5; 0.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $403.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 42 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Hidden Object + Surreal is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view59 of 60 launches | Without the breakout59 of 60 launches | Last 18 months31 of 60 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 602 hits | 592 hits | 591 hits | 312 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 1.7 in 1001 in 59 | 6.5 in 1001 in 15 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $485top tenth $36,177+ | $424 | $424 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +3.0%0.1 more in 100 | -48.5%1.6 fewer in 100 | +97.0%3.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -12.6%$61 less | -12.6%$61 less | -16.7%$81 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Hidden Object and Surreal, 6 to 30 months old: 60 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 60 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, BLACKSHARD (24.0% of the money): 59 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 31 of 60.
Hidden Object holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Hidden Object | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,721 of 1,767 launches | Without the breakout1,766 of 1,767 launches | Last 18 months937 of 1,767 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,76726 hits | 1,72125 hits | 1,76625 hits | 93717 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.5 in 1001 in 67 | 1.5 in 1001 in 67 | 1.4 in 1001 in 71 | 1.8 in 1001 in 56 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $541top tenth $6,669+ | $545 | $541 | $424 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -6.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | +20.0%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.7%$4 more | 0.0%no change | -21.6%$117 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Hidden Object, 6 to 30 months old: 1,767 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 46 of 1,767 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Whisper of the House (10.0% of the money): 1,766 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 937 of 1,767.
Surreal holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Surreal | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view657 of 678 launches | Without the breakout677 of 678 launches | Last 18 months368 of 678 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 67843 hits | 65742 hits | 67742 hits | 36822 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 6.2 in 1001 in 16 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,271top tenth $50,389+ | $1,214 | $1,271 | $1,271 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.6%0.1 more in 100 | -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -4.8%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -4.5%$57 less | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Surreal, 6 to 30 months old: 678 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 678 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, INDIKA (12.0% of the money): 677 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 368 of 678.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Hidden Object + Surreal moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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