Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Historical / Grand Strategy
Historical + Grand Strategy: 36 releases in the last 12 months
There is no price yet: it needs 30 or more indie paid launches in the last four complete quarters. 9 of 40 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 8.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 33% on the year before: 36 against 27.
- Price
- n/a under 30 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- n/a no price
- Releases, 12 months
- 36 27 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 81 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 315 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.34%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.18% to 0.52% | 21 ranked of 82 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #688 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 1.09xhits against expected | 0.76x to 1.54x | 40 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,288 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +24%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −9% to +82% | 32 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #637 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +14%review growth against same-age games | +5% to +25% | 32 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #128 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 40
- Hit rate
- 24.4%17.1% to 40.5%
- Expected rate
- 20.1%
- Against expected
- 1.09x0.76x to 1.54x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
41 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $808
- Median
- $8,096
- Top tenth
- $1,937,674
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +33%
- Against Steam
- −8%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- HistoricalNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- Grand StrategyGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Manor Lords (opens the Steam store)2024 · 77,221 reviews, 84% positiveest. $60M
- Terra Invicta (opens the Steam store)2026 · 9,088 reviews, 79% positiveest. $7M
- Norland (opens the Steam store)2024 · 8,941 reviews, 81% positiveest. $5M
- Corsair Cove (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,168 reviews, 85% positiveest. $2.4M
- Cataclismo (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,897 reviews, 88% positiveest. $2.2M
- Whiskerwood (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,363 reviews, 92% positiveest. $1.9M
- Nova Roma (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,118 reviews, 93% positiveest. $1.3M
- Heart of the Machine (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,020 reviews, 91% positiveest. $1.2M
More with Historical
pairs with Historical- Story Rich + Historical$9,68533 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Historical$5,28050 launches priced, 124 releases in 12 months
- Historical + Wargame$4,50234 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- War + Historical$4,39930 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Historical$4,25980 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Historical$4,25039 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
More with Grand Strategy
pairs with Grand Strategy- Grand Strategy + Wargame$4,04836 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
- RTS + Grand Strategy$2,63033 launches priced, 35 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Grand Strategy$2,63057 launches priced, 121 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Grand Strategy$2,49838 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Grand Strategy$1,31543 launches priced, 40 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Grand Strategyno price63 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.