Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Historical + Puzzle
Historical + Puzzle
Games tagged both Historical and Puzzle: 67 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Historical + Puzzle priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Historical and beats Puzzle; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Historical + Puzzle trails both its tags: 1 of its 15 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 22.7 in 100 for Historical and 13.8 in 100 for Puzzle.
Small sample: 15 launches, 1 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 15 games tagged both Historical and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 6.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 25.6 for Historical-only games and 13.9 for Puzzle-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 15 games priced $10 to $20; 6.7 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 15), typical first-year earnings $5,160.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 15 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Historical + Puzzle is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view66 of 67 launches | Without the breakout66 of 67 launches | Last 18 months26 of 67 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 675 hits | 665 hits | 664 hits | 260 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.5 in 1001 in 13 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 6.1 in 1001 in 16 | 0.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $809top tenth $54,451+ | $809 | $809 | $606 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.3%0.1 more in 100 | -18.7%1.4 fewer in 100 | -100.0%7.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -25.1%$203 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Historical and Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 67 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 67 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Botany Manor (28.7% of the money): 66 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 26 of 67.
Historical holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Historical | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view395 of 450 launches | Without the breakout449 of 450 launches | Last 18 months228 of 450 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 45057 hits | 39552 hits | 44956 hits | 22828 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 12.7 in 100 | 13.2 in 100 | 12.5 in 100 | 12.3 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,223top tenth $226,743+ | $2,223 | $2,183 | $1,920 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +3.9%0.5 more in 100 | -1.6%0.2 fewer in 100 | -3.1%0.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -1.8%$40 less | -13.6%$303 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Historical, 6 to 30 months old: 450 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 55 of 450 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (49.8% of the money): 449 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 228 of 450.
Puzzle holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Puzzle | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,529 of 5,739 launches | Without the breakout5,738 of 5,739 launches | Last 18 months3,111 of 5,739 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,739203 hits | 5,529192 hits | 5,738202 hits | 3,111106 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $443top tenth $14,400+ | $461 | $443 | $405 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.9%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.1%$18 more | 0.0%no change | -8.6%$38 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 5,739 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 210 of 5,739 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.0% of the money): 5,738 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,111 of 5,739.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Historical + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.