Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Horror + Linear: a typical launch earns $808 in its first year
That is the median of 121 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 5 of 231 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 6% on the year before: 153 against 144.
- Price
- $808 median of 121 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −13.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 153 144 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 271 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 814 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.11%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.07% to 0.16% | 16 ranked of 271 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,615 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.92xhits against expected | 0.62x to 1.50x | 231 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,320 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 231
- Hit rate
- 2.2%0.9% to 4.5%
- Expected rate
- 2.5%
- Against expected
- 0.92x0.62x to 1.50x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
231 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $40
- Median
- $728
- Top tenth
- $8,248
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +6%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Crisol: Theater of Idols (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,137 reviews, 85% positiveest. $1.5M
- Legacy of Kain: Defiance Remastered (opens the Steam store)2026 · 663 reviews, 96% positiveest. $336k
- Last Report (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,440 reviews, 89% positiveest. $247k
- Dollmare (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,059 reviews, 94% positiveest. $208k
- RATSHAKER™ (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,018 reviews, 92% positiveest. $183k
- Nie No Hakoniwa - Dollhouse of Offerings (opens the Steam store)2024 · 201 reviews, 75% positiveest. $122k
- We Escaped a Twisted Game (opens the Steam store)2025 · 801 reviews, 94% positiveest. $81k
- Tower of Mask (opens the Steam store)2024 · 359 reviews, 95% positiveest. $80k
More with Horror
pairs with Horror- Horror + Co-op$7,08089 launches priced, 127 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Online Co-Op$5,819120 launches priced, 169 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Multiplayer$5,680106 launches priced, 172 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Lovecraftian$3,41850 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Roguelike$3,33937 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Text-Based$2,83130 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
More with Linear
pairs with Linear- Walking Simulator + Linear$1,56566 launches priced, 92 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Linear$1,11182 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Linear$91095 launches priced, 129 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Linear$84831 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Female Protagonist + Linear$79940 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
- Point & Click + Linear$76962 launches priced, 63 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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