Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Horror + Realistic
Games tagged both Horror and Realistic: 492 indie paid launches, 16 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Horror + Realistic priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Horror and trails Realistic; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Horror + Realistic trails both its tags: 17.6 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 22.2 in 100 for Horror and 21.2 in 100 for Realistic.
That is about 0.9 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 34 games tagged both Horror and Realistic priced $10 to $20. 17.6 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 22.7 in 100 for Horror-only games and 21.8 in 100 for Realistic-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 34 games priced $10 to $20; 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 76 in 100 · $10k+ 47 in 100 · $100k+ 18 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 34 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Horror + Realistic is one-hit market +1: one game earned over half the money, and 1 more lens too. It holds in West-facing view.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view475 of 492 launches | Without the breakout491 of 492 launches | Last 18 months144 of 492 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 49216 hits | 47516 hits | 49115 hits | 1446 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.3 in 1001 in 31 | 3.4 in 1001 in 30 | 3.1 in 1001 in 33 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,234top tenth $19,779+ | $1,234 | $1,215 | $1,631 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +3.6%0.1 more in 100 | -6.1%0.2 fewer in 100 | +28.1%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | -1.5%$19 less | +32.2%$397 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Horror and Realistic, 12 to 36 months old: 492 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 17 of 492 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Bodycam (81.6% of the money): 491 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 144 of 492.
Horror is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Horror | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,137 of 3,283 launches | Without the breakout3,282 of 3,283 launches | Last 18 months1,000 of 3,283 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,283193 hits | 3,137189 hits | 3,282192 hits | 1,00058 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,005top tenth $35,503+ | $1,023 | $1,005 | $942 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +2.5%0.1 more in 100 | -0.5%no change | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.8%$18 more | 0.0%no change | -6.3%$63 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Horror, 12 to 36 months old: 3,283 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 146 of 3,283 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (17.8% of the money): 3,282 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,000 of 3,283.
Realistic holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Realistic | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,488 of 1,520 launches | Without the breakout1,519 of 1,520 launches | Last 18 months431 of 1,520 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,520112 hits | 1,488112 hits | 1,519111 hits | 43134 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.4 in 1001 in 14 | 7.5 in 1001 in 13 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $975top tenth $57,388+ | $981 | $975 | $1,029 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +2.2%0.2 more in 100 | -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | +7.1%0.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.6%$6 more | 0.0%no change | +5.5%$54 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Realistic, 12 to 36 months old: 1,520 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 1,520 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (25.2% of the money): 1,519 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 431 of 1,520.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Horror + Realistic moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.