Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Incremental + Minimalist
Incremental + Minimalist
Games tagged both Incremental and Minimalist: 158 indie paid launches, 4 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Incremental + Minimalist priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Incremental and beats Minimalist; priced under $5 it is level with Incremental and beats Minimalist.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Incremental + Minimalist is level with Incremental and beats Minimalist: 1.4 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 1.7 in 100 for Incremental and 0.6 in 100 for Minimalist.
That is 1 in 71, about 2.8 times the 0.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 139 games tagged both Incremental and Minimalist priced under $5. 1.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 1.8 for Incremental-only games and 0.4 for Minimalist-only games, so the mix is level with Incremental alone and beats Minimalist alone.
Both: 139 games priced under $5; 1.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 71), typical first-year earnings $140.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 139 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Incremental + Minimalist holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view153 of 158 launches | Without the breakout157 of 158 launches | Last 18 months106 of 158 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1584 hits | 1534 hits | 1573 hits | 1063 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.5 in 1001 in 40 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 | 1.9 in 1001 in 53 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $160top tenth $12,135+ | $160 | $160 | $161 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +4.0%0.1 more in 100 | -24.0%0.6 fewer in 100 | +12.0%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +0.6%$1 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Incremental and Minimalist, 6 to 30 months old: 158 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 158 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Digseum (24.5% of the money): 157 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 106 of 158.
Incremental is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Incremental | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,304 of 1,414 launches | Without the breakout1,413 of 1,414 launches | Last 18 months896 of 1,414 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,41450 hits | 1,30445 hits | 1,41349 hits | 89640 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 4.5 in 1001 in 22 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $367top tenth $16,254+ | $403 | $364 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +28.6%1.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +9.8%$36 more | -0.8%$3 less | +10.1%$37 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Incremental, 6 to 30 months old: 1,414 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 110 of 1,414 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Scritchy Scratchy (9.1% of the money): 1,413 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 896 of 1,414.
Minimalist holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Minimalist | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,171 of 1,203 launches | Without the breakout1,202 of 1,203 launches | Last 18 months683 of 1,203 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,20324 hits | 1,17124 hits | 1,20223 hits | 68313 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.0 in 1001 in 50 | 2.0 in 1001 in 50 | 1.9 in 1001 in 53 | 1.9 in 1001 in 53 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $202top tenth $5,558+ | $202 | $202 | $182 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -5.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | -5.0%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -9.9%$20 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Minimalist, 6 to 30 months old: 1,203 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 1,203 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Cast n Chill (18.5% of the money): 1,202 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 683 of 1,203.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Incremental + Minimalist moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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