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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 2 Oct 2026

Niches / Incremental + Visual Novel

Niche

Incremental + Visual Novel

Games tagged both Incremental and Visual Novel: 107 indie paid launches, 2 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Incremental + Visual Novel priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it beats Incremental and trails Visual Novel.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Incremental + Visual Novel beats Incremental and trails Visual Novel: 1 of its 13 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 4.7 in 100 for Incremental and 14.6 in 100 for Visual Novel.

Small sample: 13 launches, 1 hits.

3RDThird
Tag oneIncremental
4.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds1 in 21
Typical earnings$1,942
Launches43 / 2 hits
Pair leads by3.0 in 100
2NDRunner-up
This pairIncremental + Visual Novel
1 of 13launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds1 of 13 launches
Typical earnings$4,673
Launches13 / 1 hits
Expected18.6 in 100
1STWinner
Tag twoVisual Novel
14.6in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds14.6 in 100
Typical earnings$7,366
Launches460 / 67 hits
Pair trails by6.9 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices107 in pairUnder $566 in pair$5 to $1028 in pair$10 to $2013 in pair$20 to $40no launches
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 13 games tagged both Incremental and Visual Novel priced $10 to $20. 7.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 3.3 for Incremental-only games and 14.8 for Visual Novel-only games, so the mix beats Incremental alone and trails Visual Novel alone.

Both: 13 games priced $10 to $20; 7.7 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 13), typical first-year earnings $4,673.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 13 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

恋爱吗？我家猫会后空翻leads this pair25.0%
Pair恋爱吗？我家猫会后空翻25.0%
IncrementalScritchy Scratchy9.1%
Visual NovelUntil Then7.5%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently +2. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Incremental + Visual Novel

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • 恋爱吗？我家猫会后空翻 earned 25.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 107 Incremental + Visual Novel launches.
  • Incremental is led by Scritchy Scratchy, with 9.1% of its money.
  • Visual Novel is led by Until Then, with 7.5% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Incremental + Visual Novel is changed recently +2: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 2 more lenses too. It holds in 0 of 3.

Incremental + Visual Novel through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view81 of 107 launchesWithout the breakout106 of 107 launchesLast 18 months62 of 107 launches
Launches counted1072 hits811 hits1061 hits622 hits
Earned $100k+1.9 in 1001 in 531.2 in 1001 in 830.9 in 1001 in 1113.2 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings$421top tenth $9,910+$481$421$727
Chance against standardthe yardstick-36.8%0.7 fewer in 100-52.6%1.0 fewer in 100+68.4%1.3 more in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+14.3%$60 more0.0%no change+72.7%$306 more
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerMoves the answerMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Incremental and Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 107 launches.

Launches counted
1072 hits
Earned $100k+
1.9 in 1001 in 53
Typical first-year earnings
$421top tenth $9,910+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 107 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
811 hits
Earned $100k+
1.2 in 1001 in 83
Typical first-year earnings
$481
Chance against standard
-36.8%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+14.3%$60 more
Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, 恋爱吗？我家猫会后空翻 (25.0% of the money): 106 launches left.

Launches counted
1061 hits
Earned $100k+
0.9 in 1001 in 111
Typical first-year earnings
$421
Chance against standard
-52.6%1.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 62 of 107.

Launches counted
622 hits
Earned $100k+
3.2 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings
$727
Chance against standard
+68.4%1.3 more in 100
Typical against standard
+72.7%$306 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Incremental and Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 107 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 107 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, 恋爱吗？我家猫会后空翻 (25.0% of the money): 106 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 62 of 107.

Incremental is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.

Incremental through every lens, all prices
IncrementalBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,304 of 1,414 launchesWithout the breakout1,413 of 1,414 launchesLast 18 months896 of 1,414 launches
Launches counted1,41450 hits1,30445 hits1,41349 hits89640 hits
Earned $100k+3.5 in 1001 in 293.5 in 1001 in 293.5 in 1001 in 294.5 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings$367top tenth $16,254+$403$364$404
Chance against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change+28.6%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+9.8%$36 more-0.8%$3 less+10.1%$37 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Incremental, 6 to 30 months old: 1,414 launches.

Launches counted
1,41450 hits
Earned $100k+
3.5 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings
$367top tenth $16,254+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 110 of 1,414 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,30445 hits
Earned $100k+
3.5 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings
$403
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
+9.8%$36 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Scritchy Scratchy (9.1% of the money): 1,413 launches left.

Launches counted
1,41349 hits
Earned $100k+
3.5 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings
$364
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
-0.8%$3 less
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 896 of 1,414.

Launches counted
89640 hits
Earned $100k+
4.5 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings
$404
Chance against standard
+28.6%1.0 more in 100
Typical against standard
+10.1%$37 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Incremental, 6 to 30 months old: 1,414 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 110 of 1,414 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Scritchy Scratchy (9.1% of the money): 1,413 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 896 of 1,414.

Visual Novel is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.

Visual Novel through every lens, all prices
Visual NovelBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,823 of 2,114 launchesWithout the breakout2,113 of 2,114 launchesLast 18 months1,162 of 2,114 launches
Launches counted2,114130 hits1,823100 hits2,113129 hits1,16263 hits
Earned $100k+6.1 in 1001 in 165.5 in 1001 in 186.1 in 1001 in 165.4 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings$1,293top tenth $48,802+$1,214$1,287$910
Chance against standardthe yardstick-9.8%0.6 fewer in 1000.0%no change-11.5%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick-6.1%$79 less-0.5%$6 less-29.6%$383 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 2,114 launches.

Launches counted
2,114130 hits
Earned $100k+
6.1 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$1,293top tenth $48,802+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 291 of 2,114 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,823100 hits
Earned $100k+
5.5 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$1,214
Chance against standard
-9.8%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-6.1%$79 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Until Then (7.5% of the money): 2,113 launches left.

Launches counted
2,113129 hits
Earned $100k+
6.1 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$1,287
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
-0.5%$6 less
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,162 of 2,114.

Launches counted
1,16263 hits
Earned $100k+
5.4 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings
$910
Chance against standard
-11.5%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-29.6%$383 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Visual Novel, 6 to 30 months old: 2,114 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 291 of 2,114 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Until Then (7.5% of the money): 2,113 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,162 of 2,114.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Incremental + Visual Novel moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.