Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Local Co-Op + PvP
Local Co-Op + PvP
Games tagged both Local Co-Op and PvP: 45 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Local Co-Op + PvP priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails both its tags; priced under $5 it is level with Local Co-Op and trails PvP.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Local Co-Op + PvP is level with Local Co-Op and trails PvP: 0 of its 20 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.0 in 100 for Local Co-Op and 0.5 in 100 for PvP.
Small sample: 20 launches, 0 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 20 games tagged both Local Co-Op and PvP priced under $5. 0.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 0.0 for Local Co-Op-only games and 0.6 for PvP-only games, so the mix is level with Local Co-Op alone and trails PvP alone.
Both: 20 games priced under $5; 0.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $121.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 20 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Local Co-Op + PvP is one-hit market +1: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view45 of 45 launches | Without the breakout44 of 45 launches | Last 18 months25 of 45 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 451 hits | 451 hits | 440 hits | 250 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.2 in 1001 in 45 | 2.2 in 1001 in 45 | 0.0 in 100 | 0.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $10,930+ | $404 | $404 | $604 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -100.0%2.2 fewer in 100 | -100.0%2.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +49.5%$200 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Local Co-Op and PvP, 6 to 30 months old: 45 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 45 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, TopSpin 2K25 (87.4% of the money): 44 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 25 of 45.
Local Co-Op holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Local Co-Op | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view305 of 312 launches | Without the breakout311 of 312 launches | Last 18 months159 of 312 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 31223 hits | 30522 hits | 31122 hits | 15910 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.4 in 1001 in 14 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,150top tenth $44,621+ | $1,150 | $1,112 | $1,112 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -2.7%0.2 fewer in 100 | -4.1%0.3 fewer in 100 | -14.9%1.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -3.3%$38 less | -3.3%$38 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Local Co-Op, 6 to 30 months old: 312 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 312 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, PowerWash Simulator 2 (22.9% of the money): 311 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 159 of 312.
PvP holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| PvP | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,141 of 1,166 launches | Without the breakout1,165 of 1,166 launches | Last 18 months648 of 1,166 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,16674 hits | 1,14172 hits | 1,16573 hits | 64837 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $541top tenth $33,177+ | $526 | $526 | $604 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -9.5%0.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -2.8%$15 less | -2.8%$15 less | +11.6%$63 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged PvP, 6 to 30 months old: 1,166 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 1,166 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (29.3% of the money): 1,165 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 648 of 1,166.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Local Co-Op + PvP moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.